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New listings have peaked for 2024: It’s the second-lowest year on record

Housing Wire

One of my critical forecasts for 2024 was the growth of new listings data and active inventory, even with higher mortgage rates. However, the new listings data has slightly disappointed me. New listings data I am pleased that we’ve seen new listings data grow year over year — it’s a big step forward.

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New listings data is growing and prices still aren’t crashing

Housing Wire

The rules of supply and demand economics always end up winning and weekly new listing data is key. New listing data is growing year over year, but it will be the second-lowest new listing data ever recorded in history. With more sellers who are buyers, we have a tad more demand this year.

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Will the NAR settlement changes slow down home-buying?

Housing Wire

Since the buyer’s commission payout isn’t as transparent as before, I have been anticipating delays in the home-buying process as people adapted to the new rules. 2024 is the second-lowest new listing year recorded in history, but we still saw growth from last year, which is a positive. Weekly inventory change (Aug.

Inventory 427
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Mortgage rates head lower, helped by better mortgage spreads

Housing Wire

The seasonal decline period is starting soon, so we should get accustomed to seeing a decline in new listing data as the year heads toward its end. It is a bit shocking to me that new listings this week are lower than even last year: This is the lowest new listing week ever recorded.

Mortgage 506
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Why home prices haven’t crashed even with high mortgage rates

Housing Wire

Here is the price cut percentage data for the same week in other years: 2023 38% 2022 42% 2021 27% As you can see, affordability is an issue, and the price cut percentage is higher now than in any period from 2015-2021, but still below 2022 levels. Now lets take a look at the weekly inventory data. the seasonal peak this year was on Nov.

Mortgage 527
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Can mortgage rates keep falling? Job market data is key

Housing Wire

As most sellers are buyers, seeing more sellers listing their homes has been good. The only thing about 2024 was that I was 100% sure we would see a seasonal peak print at a minimum of 80,000 and it’s starting to look more and more like it won’t happen this year as the seasonal decline in new listings isn’t far away.

Mortgage 484
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What will lower mortgage rates do to spring housing inventory?

Housing Wire

Instead, let’s look at the future: If the 10-year yield can break under 4.34% with some kick from bond buyers, we have an excellent shot at getting under 7%. Most home sellers are buyers, and we want the new listings data to show growth year over year since it appears that we have formed a bottom in 2023.

Inventory 530