Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 13, 2022

The premise of a mortgage rate lockdown is simple: so many American households have such low mortgage rates that some will never move once rates rise, which then locks up housing inventory. Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter.

Mortgage 525

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 525

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

Second, because of the downtrend in inventory since 2014 and the demand pick-up we will see in the years 2020-2024, we had a risk of home prices accelerating too much. They’re mindful of higher rates because in 2013, 2014 and 2015 they had to deal with a miss in sales expectations. First, total home sales should be 6.2

Mortgage 505

Mortgage Inventory Housing Market Construction 505

Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2022

Inventory has broken to all-time lows, but it doesn’t look like the year-over-year data will be positive at all this year unless demand softens up. NAR Research : Unsold inventory sits at a 1.7-month NAR Research : Unsold inventory sits at a 1.7-month However, negative year-over-year inventory is not what we want to see.

Housing Market 542

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 542

Housing Wire

JULY 20, 2022

But, there is one bright spot — inventory is rising. This has been a concern of mine after the summer of 2020 as inventory levels were breaking all-time lows, facilitating unhealthy home price growth during a more prominent demographic patch in U.S. The one positive: Inventory is rising. Once total inventory levels reach 1.52-1.93

Inventory 518

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Realtors 518

Housing Wire

MAY 15, 2024

That’s a swing of 17% fewer sellers in just a matter of days. What’s not measured in the FHFA paper is how by 2023, seller volume had already been declining for nearly a decade. In that period, we can see seller volume decreasing as more and more Americans had mortgages under 5%. This was a supply-constrained market.

Mortgage 459

Mortgage New Listings Inventory Sellers 459

Housing Wire

JANUARY 26, 2021

Record low inventory and strong buyer demand once again pushed up the cost of homes in the U.S., November’s numbers mark the greatest annual growth rate since February 2014 and even blew past the 8.4% Over the past few decades, the inventory of affordable homes has been in sharp decline while home prices have risen dramatically.

Inventory 544

Inventory Housing Market Buyers Sellers 544

Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2022

The home-price growth from 2020 through 2022 has been so unhealthy that I’ve labeled this a savagely unhealthy housing market as inventory has once again collapsed on a year-over-year basis in 2022. Inventory is still showing negative year-over-year data. The last time this data line was fragile was back in 2013-2014.

Housing Market 511

Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 511

Housing Wire

JUNE 10, 2024

What’s not measured in the FHFA paper is how by 2023, seller volume had already been declining for nearly a decade. In that period, we can see seller volume decreasing as more and more Americans had mortgages under 5%. Throughout most of the last decade, fewer sellers entered the market each year.

Mortgage 468

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 468

Housing Wire

APRIL 14, 2023

While spring of 2022 saw a similar share of all-cash homebuyers, one needs to look back to 2014 before seeing similar shares. Homebuyers placed competitive offers on homes while inventory grew increasingly difficult to find. In March of 2022, sellers received an average of 5.5 Today, the average is 2.7

Realtors 459

Realtors Buyers Inventory Investors 459

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 26, 2022

The three categories I’ll cover will be the weekly purchase application data, the Altos Research weekly inventory data , and what the bond market/ mortgage rates did recently. Housing market inventory. Altos Research data shows that the weekly inventory fell from 521,957 to 507,934 last week. 15 to 6.32% today, Dec.

Housing Market 516

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Mortgage 516

Housing Wire

JULY 10, 2024

When analyzing the future of home prices in this country, and the potential for a home-price crash, or distressed sellers flooding the market if/when a recession finally catches up to us, we should look at three variables. 3 above), for example rising inventory and long days-on-market, I get discouraged about my ability to sell.

Inventory 545

Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 545

Housing Wire

AUGUST 3, 2022

People thought the mortgage rate drama in 2013-2014 was a lot when rates went from 3.5% We saw this in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019. They have to move as well, so a traditional seller is a buyer most of the time when it’s a primary resident owner. Traditionally, total inventory ranges between 2 to 2.5 NAR total inventory data.

Mortgage 514

Mortgage Inventory Sellers Housing Market 514

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 13, 2023

Homebuyers’ median household income increased by $19,000 this year from 2022, reaching $107,000, according to the National Association of Realtors ’ 2023 Profile of Homebuyers and Sellers. The report is an annual survey of homebuyers and sellers who closed transactions between July 2022 and June 2023.

Real Estate Agent 435

Real Estate Agent Real Estate Agents Sellers 435

Housing Wire

MAY 3, 2022

After making some Covid-19 adjustments to the data line, we will have our first negative year over year since 2014, unless something changes on the mortgage rate side. 2014 was the last year we saw a noticeable weakness in purchase application data. Inventory is very seasonal. What have we seen this year? million – and 1.93

Housing Market 448

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Mortgage 448

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2022

Looking at the housing market in the years 2020-2024, one risk i identified early on was that home prices could accelerate more in this period than we saw in the previous expansion if inventory channels broke to all-time lows. Back then, we had higher sales, higher inventory, and less price growth, but we had a massive credit bubble.

Inventory 540

Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Construction 540

Housing Wire

JUNE 28, 2022

Since 2014, we’ve not seen the credit housing boom that we saw from 2002-2005. The housing market can’t replicate the type of massive credit expansion we saw from 2002-2005, so the price-growth story has more to do with inventory collapsing to all-time lows. To have that market, we need total inventory data to get back to 1.52-1.93

Housing Market 482

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Investors 482

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 29, 2021

. “This solid buying is a testament to demand still being relatively high, as it is occurring during a time when inventory is still markedly low.” Over the years, I have never believed in the premise that low inventory is holding sales back, which was expected whenever sales get weaker.

Inventory 532

Inventory Contracts Training Investors 532

Housing Wire

JANUARY 7, 2021

“In particular, the sell-side component fell for the first time since April and by 18 points, reversing most of the increases of the past three months and implying to us that, at least temporarily, potential home sellers might wait to list their homes,” Duncan said. “If The report also predicts home price growth to slow through this November.

Housing Market 482

Housing Market Design Inventory Sellers 482

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 9, 2022

It’s simple: inventory levels were at all-time lows in 2021 and they just got worse in 2022, don’t make it any more complicated than that. It can be stressful enough when the markets are regular, like they were from 2014-to 2019. By the summer of 2020, I started to worry about inventory levels getting dangerously low.

Inventory 370

Inventory Buyers Investors Sellers 370

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 9, 2022

It’s simple: inventory levels were at all-time lows in 2021 and they just got worse in 2022, don’t make it any more complicated than that. It can be stressful enough when the markets are regular, like they were from 2014-to 2019. By the summer of 2020, I started to worry about inventory levels getting dangerously low.

Inventory 370

Inventory Buyers Investors Sellers 370

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 8, 2023

Offerpad is an instant buyer, or iBuyer, a company that gives sellers cash offers for their homes and attempts to resell the homes for a profit, sometimes after making renovations. Opendoor set out on its disruptive journey in 2014, and Offerpad followed soon after in 2015. For the same period this year, the company has 4,007.

Marketing 448

Marketing Inventory Renovations Investors 448

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 26, 2023

He told the jury that sellers also benefit because it brings more foot traffic and attention to their listings. Stevens said it was harder in some markets, in part, because there is currently very little housing inventory. He also noted that buyers’ agents provide valuable services for sellers and buyers.

Buyers 448

Buyers Sellers Agents Real Estate 448

Housing Wire

AUGUST 30, 2022

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. Housing inventory issue with no booming demand. Total Inventory had been growing from 2001-2005; total listings data in 2005 was at the higher historical range of 2.5

Inventory 397

Inventory New Listings Law Housing Market 397

Housing Wire

MAY 11, 2021

How Opendoor could sell comparably fewer homes in Q1 amid historically high demand and low inventory was not addressed on a Tuesday earnings call. Founded in 2014, Opendoor is a pioneer in cash home-buys moving online, and an alternative to home sellers having to work with real estate agents.

Real Estate Agent 370

Real Estate Agent Real Estate Brokerage Inventory 370

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 1, 2022

As reported in the latest NAR Existing-Home Sales , inventory still remains in tight supply, which means homes are still moving at a fast past despite the recent rise in rates and home prices. The last high among all-cash buyers was seen at 35% in 2014. All cash buyers now stand at 24%.

Realtors 418

Realtors Housing Market Marketing Buyers 418

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 2, 2020

Like other mortgage firms, California-based AmeriHome has captured a glut of business over the last year due to low interest rates and paltry inventory. “Through our correspondent channel, we primarily purchase and aggregate residential mortgages from trusted third-party originators, who we refer to as ‘correspondent sellers.’

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Valuation Mortgage Business Modernization 380

Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2022

The builders have pricing power and they — along with home sellers — have pushed it very hard since 2020. They were simply doing what the marketplace allowed them to do with low inventory and low mortgage rates. From Census: For Sale Inventory and Months’ Supply: The seasonally?adjusted This represents a supply of 6.4

Construction 370

Construction Buyers Housing Market Inventory 370

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 1, 2023

It is really a great tool from a seller perspective to say, ‘Look, we don’t control rates, but what I can offer you is something that will offset this shock in interest rates that has happened here in the last nine or 10 months or so,’” Nunziata said. in 2022, the weakest showing since 2014.

Marketing 435

Marketing Government Mortgage Sellers 435

Housing Wire

AUGUST 23, 2022

The builders are in a better position to manage their inventory glut than when they were working from a credit boom in 2005 that took new home sales up to 1.4 We had missed sales estimates in 2013, 2014 and 2015. Tuesday’s new home sales report shows only 511,000 new homes sold. The average sales price was $546,800.

Construction 370

Construction Housing Market Sellers Real Estate 370

Housing Wire

APRIL 5, 2021

While the position of the Fund has strengthened in recent years and continues to do so largely as the result of a robust housing market driven by low inventory, low interest rates, and solid home-price appreciation, there are many reasons to proceed cautiously and to continue to prepare for the unexpected.

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Insurance Housing Market Mortgage Government 359

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 14, 2022

Living on commissions often means getting paid more for convincing a buyer to increase their acceptable price range or coaxing a seller to hold out for a more lucrative deal. Noah Goldberg came to Redfin in 2014, nine years after graduating from American University and bouncing between different corporate jobs. “I

Business 370

Business Brokerage Real Estate Agent Real Estate 370

Birmingham Appraisal

JULY 27, 2022

If they didn’t lose out on a contract for the home of their dreams they had to bid the price up way over the list price to even get the attention of sellers who have had an edge in the market since interest rates dropped after the COVID pandemic. Months of Inventory/Active Listings – The months of inventory is on the rise.

Buyers 96

Buyers Inventory Sellers Appraisal 96

Lamacchia Realty

JANUARY 30, 2024

This scarcity in inventory had the effect of keeping prices high, but there was a substantial decrease in sales, approximately 19%, leaving prospective buyers eager. This resilience is more attributable to the reduction in inventory rather than a decline in sales. Maine Sales Decreased by 18.9%

Inventory 73

Inventory Sellers Buyers Contracts 73

Lamacchia Realty

NOVEMBER 16, 2021

Quite often, too often, in fact, REALTORS ® hear home sellers say that they want to take their home off the market for the holiday season. September and October are usually the months with an increased number of homes on the market , and then as those homes sell or people begin taking them off the market, inventory decreases.

Inventory 69

Inventory Sellers Buyers Realty 69

Lamacchia Realty

JANUARY 27, 2023

Normal seasonality along with tight inventory and rising prices kicked 2022 off slow and just as spring hit, a time when the market usually starts to heat up, rates began their ascent which decreased buyer affordability and kept sales down. You can see in the chart below how 2022 was the lowest number of pending sales since 2014.

Sellers 74

Sellers Buyers Inventory Realty 74

Cornerstone

FEBRUARY 2, 2021

Housing inventory is at an all-time low , sitting far below the 6-month supply required to support a healthy market. Many sellers are seeing homes “fly off the shelves.” As a result, the average homeowner has gained $17,000 in home equity , the biggest equity gain since 2014. This speeds up selling significantly.

Landlords 68

Landlords Loan Officers Sellers Buyers 68

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 23, 2024

To get a real price crash, we would need to see a surge of housing inventory and distressed sellers. As you will see below, inventory is growing, but it’s been a calm, healthy rise in 2024, not a flood of houses coming onto the market. Using the NAR data, the normal amount of active inventory since 1982 has been between 2 and 2.5

Mortgage 497

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 497