Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2022

We’ve all been wondering what 5% plus mortgage rates would do to the hot housing market, and now we’ve got that and a bag of chips. As a result, I’ve been rooting for mortgage rates to rise to create a balancing impact on this housing market. Inventory is still showing negative year-over-year data.

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Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 511

Housing Wire

JANUARY 12, 2022

Early in 2021, when I was talking about how people should worry about home prices overheating, I had a glimmer of hope that maybe toward the end of 2021 we would be spared another seasonal collapse of inventory. Inventory always falls in the fall and winter, but I hoped it wouldn’t be a repeat of 2020.

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Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 538

Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. The housing market shifted in March of this year. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. Yes, crazy to think, but this is a survey trend data line, and the housing market was in free-fall at that time.

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Inventory Housing Market Construction Marketing 526

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 2, 2020

I’m talking about housing market crash headlines. The housing data has been wild this year. These dramatic peaks and valleys in the data have fed the demons of greed and fear that infest the minds our extreme housing bulls and the fierce housing market bears – leading to equally wild speculations about the future of U.S.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Design 545

Housing Wire

APRIL 11, 2022

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. But we have a housing shortage, right? We had a few years where sales missed expectations in 2013, 2014, and 2015. So how should we look at the inventory situation?

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Modernization 514

Housing Wire

MAY 19, 2022

million , with double-digit home-price growth driving a housing market that is still savagely unhealthy. This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. Inventory is always seasonal. Today inventory levels are at 1.02

Housing Market 528

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Realtors 528

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 8, 2021

My biggest concern for housing in the years 2020-2024 was that if the demographic push in demand picks up and total home sales get over 6. 2 million , we could be at risk of housing inventory falling to such low levels that I would have to categorize this housing market as unhealthy.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 525

Housing Wire

APRIL 1, 2024

But now sellers are coming back into the market. Total available inventory is gradually climbing about 1% per week — last year it was still declining in April. As we roll into the second quarter, we should have accelerating inventory growth each week. The immediate sales don’t add to active inventory , they’re already pending.

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Inventory New Listings Contracts Sellers 488

Housing Wire

MAY 3, 2022

Logan Mohtashami: Yes, purchase application data has always been a useful forward looking indicator for housing, especially when we are dealing with higher mortgage rates. After making some Covid-19 adjustments to the data line, we will have our first negative year over year since 2014, unless something changes on the mortgage rate side.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Mortgage 448

Housing Wire

MARCH 29, 2022

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. But we have a housing shortage, right? We had a few years where sales missed expectations in 2013, 2014, and 2015. So how should we look at the inventory situation?

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Modernization 435

Housing Wire

JUNE 28, 2022

This data line lags the current housing market as it’s a few months old. Since 2014, we’ve not seen the credit housing boom that we saw from 2002-2005. million total housing inventory data as that is the level of inventory that would change my thesis that this is a savagely unhealthy market.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Investors 482

Housing Wire

JUNE 8, 2022

I am going to do my best to try to make sense of what is happening with the housing market right now, since the years 2020-2024 have been a talking point of mine for years and my biggest concern since the fall of 2020 has been prices overheating — not having a deflationary collapse. . A short history of the housing crash narrative.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 545

Housing Wire

JUNE 2, 2022

One top question he addresses is how the industry is reacting to this savagely unhealthy housing market. HW+ Member: What’s the number one question you are getting from the real estate agent community on the economy and housing market? This Q&A was originally hosted on June 1st. Then this happened.

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Training Inventory Housing Market Real Estate Agent 459

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. Understanding this data line and what it is trying to tell you will be more valuable than erroneously thinking the market is crashing and we’ll see a wave of foreclosures.

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New Listings Inventory Housing Market Sellers 508

Housing Wire

JULY 20, 2022

The savagely unhealthy housing market is continuing as we get closer to August. But, there is one bright spot — inventory is rising. This has been a concern of mine after the summer of 2020 as inventory levels were breaking all-time lows, facilitating unhealthy home price growth during a more prominent demographic patch in U.S.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Realtors 518

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. As you can see below, the new home sales market from 2018-2022 doesn’t look like the housing market we had from 2002-2005.

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Mortgage Inventory Housing Market Construction 505

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2020

housing market was the single best outperforming economic sector globally during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Due to the solid demand for homes, housing supply for both new and existing homes are at all-time lows. For now, though, the low inventory means housing starts have legs to move higher. New Home Supply.

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Inventory Construction Government Housing Market 545

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 11, 2022

There’s a showdown at the housing market corral between homebuyers and sellers. When I came up with the “ savagely unhealthy housing market ” label in February of this year, it was based on the premise that the housing inflation story that we have had to deal with since 2020 was a historical event.

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Sellers Inventory Housing Market New Listings 514

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 1, 2022

However, there are a number of attention-grabbing headlines, which unfortunately only compare today’s housing market to the very recent history of the last two years. It is always good to know where we are with the real estate market, but it is essential to keep all data in historical perspective. . Historically 2.5

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Realtors Housing Market Marketing Buyers 418

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 13, 2022

The premise of a mortgage rate lockdown is simple: so many American households have such low mortgage rates that some will never move once rates rise, which then locks up housing inventory. Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter.

Mortgage 525

Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 525

Housing Wire

JANUARY 26, 2021

Record low inventory and strong buyer demand once again pushed up the cost of homes in the U.S., November’s numbers mark the greatest annual growth rate since February 2014 and even blew past the 8.4% How manufactured homes can help alleviate the affordable housing crisis. as prices in November rose 9.5%

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Inventory Housing Market Buyers Sellers 544

Housing Wire

JULY 10, 2024

The important message in the mortgage data is that even as the economy perhaps finally slows and even as mortgage rates stay higher for longer than anyone expected, the housing market remains buoyed by an incredible cushion of very strong borrowers. If I realize I must sell the house, and I’m met with very weak market conditions (No.

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Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 545

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2022

Looking at the housing market in the years 2020-2024, one risk i identified early on was that home prices could accelerate more in this period than we saw in the previous expansion if inventory channels broke to all-time lows. housing market as savagely unhealthy. Over the last two and a half years of U.S.

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Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Construction 540

Housing Wire

JUNE 9, 2023

I mean, it’s year 11 now of the housing bubble 2.0 In 2022, mortgage rates got as high as 7.37%, so the question was: how low do rates have to go for housing demand to get better? On June 16, 2022, I put the housing market into a recession , which is where housing demand, housing jobs, housing income and housing production all drop.

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Inventory Housing Market New Listings Mortgage 546

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 24, 2020

census divisions rose 7% in September from a year ago, the greatest year-over-year gain since 2014, and nearly 23% higher than its last peak in 2006. uptick reported in August, and represented the largest annual gain since May 2014 as record-low mortgage rates and a lack of inventory continued to put upward pressure on home prices.

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Housing Market Contracts Construction Inventory 525

Housing Wire

MAY 15, 2024

housing market saw dramatic changes in affordability as mortgage rates skyrocketed 500 basis points. After an initial rush to get to market in Q2 2022, new listings volume fell precipitously. We can observe this trend in both the count of new listings per week and in the total number of unsold homes on the market.

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Mortgage New Listings Inventory Sellers 459

Housing Wire

JULY 26, 2022

This data line confirms what we all know to be the case: The housing market, at least as it relates to construction, is in a recession. Since the summer of 2020, I have genuinely believed the housing market could change once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%. The peak of the housing bubble was roughly 1.4

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Construction Housing Market Inventory Marketing 514

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 10, 2020

For refinances, Fannie Mae’s survey revealed the net share of lenders who expect demand growth reached a survey high for government loans and the second highest reading since 2014 for GSE-eligible and non-GSE-eligible loans.

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Housing Market Government Mortgage Inventory 497

Housing Wire

JUNE 10, 2024

For every 50 basis point change in mortgage rates, the monthly payment for this house would change by $112.In housing market saw dramatic changes in affordability as mortgage rates skyrocketed 500 basis points. By watching the unsold inventory data, we can observe that demand accelerated more than supply at this time.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Sellers 468

Housing Wire

APRIL 14, 2023

This article is part of our 2023 Housing Market Forecast series. Bringing together some of the top economists and researchers in housing, the event will provide an in-depth look at the top predictions for this year, along with a roundtable discussion on how these insights apply to your business. Today, the average is 2.7

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Realtors Buyers Inventory Investors 459

Housing Wire

MAY 6, 2022

Some historical references: The last two times rates rose, this is what we saw — 2013/2014 negative — 20% year over year trend 2018 purchase application data was flat to slightly positive all year long; we only had three mild negative years over year prints when rates headed to 5%. This data line is trend survey data.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Construction 370

Housing Wire

JUNE 15, 2022

Mohtashami focused on the latest inventory and the Federal Reserve’s rate hike announcement. In 2013-2014, when rates jumped very fast, this index trended down by negative 20% year over year to hit an adjusted population all-time low in 2014. On a sour note, we still need more inventory to return to normal.

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Inventory Investors Retail Housing Market 370

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 9, 2021

last month, still hovering near levels previously seen in 2014, though it is the third month in the past four that credit availability has picked up as supply eases out. Improvements were driven by the conventional segment of the mortgage market, as lenders added ARM loans with lower credit score and higher LTV requirements,” Kan said.

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Mortgage Lending Government Contracts 542

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 25, 2020

However, Khater noted the homebuying surge has created a seller’s market, where inventory is at a record low and home prices are rising, beginning to offset the benefits of the low rates. census divisions rose 7% in September from a year ago, the greatest year-over-year gain since 2014.

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Mortgage Inventory Marketing Housing Market 545

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 30, 2020

According to Joel Kan, the Mortgage Bankers Associations assistant vice president of economic and industry forecasting, that robust year-over-year improvement in activity is a sign the market will continue to see sustained demand for housing through the end of 2020. Presented by: Fannie Mae.

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Inventory Realtors Contracts Development 535

Housing Wire

JULY 16, 2021

Cash buyers are pouring into the housing market this year, and they’re picking off more than half of available inventory in certain areas in Florida and New York. That represents the largest share since 2014, when 30.6% Investors, who often pay in cash, are also wading back into the housing market.

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Buyers Real Estate Agent Real Estate Housing Market 545

Housing Wire

AUGUST 3, 2022

People thought the mortgage rate drama in 2013-2014 was a lot when rates went from 3.5% The question is, can lower mortgage rates save the housing market from its recent downtrend? We saw this in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019. Also, we have to know that we aren’t working from a high level of inventory data as well.

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Mortgage Inventory Sellers Housing Market 514