Housing Wire

JUNE 22, 2024

Are we seeing the start of a market shift in mortgage demand? Notably, mortgage rates have been gradually declining, and we’ve observed back-to-back positive weeks in purchase application data for the first time since mid-March. For now, we just had back-to-back weeks of positive growth, with mortgage rates still around 7%.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Contracts 482

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Since the weaker CPI data was released in November, bond yields and mortgage rates have been heading lower. The question then was: What would lower mortgage rates do to this data? However, mortgage rates have fallen more than 1% since the recent highs, so it’s time to look at the data to explain how to interpret it.

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Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 544

Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2022

We’ve all been wondering what 5% plus mortgage rates would do to the hot housing market, and now we’ve got that and a bag of chips. As a result, I’ve been rooting for mortgage rates to rise to create a balancing impact on this housing market. Inventory is still showing negative year-over-year data.

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Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 511

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 16, 2023

Mortgage demand for new homes jumped in October as the inventory for existing homes remained depleted. Mortgage applications for new-home purchases rose 39.7% in October on a year-over-year basis and were up 6% from the previous month, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Builder Application Survey for October.

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Mortgage Construction Inventory Buyers 482

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. million line in the sand has been this: Home prices grow above that 23% level: check Mortgage rates spike higher: check.

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Mortgage Inventory Housing Market Construction 505

Housing Wire

AUGUST 3, 2022

To say that mortgage rates have been on a wild Mr. Toad’s ride in 2022 is an understatement. People thought the mortgage rate drama in 2013-2014 was a lot when rates went from 3.5% People thought the mortgage rate drama in 2013-2014 was a lot when rates went from 3.5% We saw this in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019.

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Mortgage Inventory Sellers Housing Market 514

Housing Wire

JUNE 13, 2023

Mortgage credit availability dropped in May, a consequence of a tougher mortgage landscape that has resulted in lender consolidation as well as high rates and limited inventory that has stretched consumer budgets. The monthly Mortgage Credit Availability Index fell by 3.1%

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Mortgage Government Lending Contracts 370

Housing Wire

JUNE 21, 2022

Now that we are almost in July, we can safely say the premise that once mortgage rates hit 4%, the mass panic selling of American homeowners who need to get out at all costs, driving total inventory up in the millions, hasn’t happened. Now that mortgage rates have risen, demand is getting hit, while we are still showing 14.8%

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Mortgage 540

Housing Wire

JULY 10, 2024

With the release of the CoreLogic 2024 Q1 Equity Insights report, which Logan discussed last week , and now the FHFA National Mortgage Database Aggregate Statistics , we have a lot of visibility into the financial position of the American homeowner. When a person finds themselves no longer able to afford their mortgage payments (No.

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Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 545

Housing Wire

JUNE 9, 2023

In 2022 it was all about finding a point in time when I thought mortgage rates would fall, which was key to understanding how the purchase application data would react to lower mortgage rates. We have had plenty of times in the previous decade when mortgage rates fell and demand improved, but that was with a lot lower mortgage rates.

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Inventory Housing Market New Listings Mortgage 546

Housing Wire

JUNE 8, 2022

2012: What they said: Shadow inventory will cause prices to fall. The reality: Inventory broke down in 2012, and the monthly supply data got below 6.0 The “shadow inventory” was not an issue as it took years to get rid of the distressed supply from the housing bubble years. million of inventory is normal.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 545

Housing Wire

JANUARY 5, 2023

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. From 2013 to 2022 I forecasted price growth every year.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 543

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2022

However, the real story of 2022 is that the savagely unhealthy housing market continues as inventory is still lower than last year, sending home prices growth into double digits again. However, post-2010, we have had times when housing demand has gotten softer with higher mortgage rates. 2014 was the last year total inventory grew.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Mortgage 505

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2020

The reasons for that are solid demographics and low mortgage rates , which will not change much in 2021. For now, though, the low inventory means housing starts have legs to move higher. Existing home inventory is also at all-time lows. Unsold inventory sits at an all-time-low 2.5-month New Home Supply.

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Inventory Construction Government Housing Market 545

Housing Wire

JULY 20, 2022

But, there is one bright spot — inventory is rising. This has been a concern of mine after the summer of 2020 as inventory levels were breaking all-time lows, facilitating unhealthy home price growth during a more prominent demographic patch in U.S. The one positive: Inventory is rising. Once total inventory levels reach 1.52-1.93

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Realtors 518

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

Inventory levels broke to all-time lows and thus created massive housing inflation quickly, which broke my model. In the summer of 2020, I talked about how the housing market would change, but it needed the 10-year yield to break over 1.94%, which roughly means 4% plus mortgage rates. We saw this happen in 2013-2014 and 2018-2019.

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New Listings Inventory Housing Market Sellers 508

Housing Wire

MAY 12, 2021

Even with historically low levels of inventory, rising mortgage rates and uneven job growth, experts still believe 2021 will be a record year for home sales. trillion in home sales this year, a 17% increase year over year — the largest annual percentage increase since 2013, and a number that, if reached, would be a record high.

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Housing Market Inventory Mortgage Market Value 448

Housing Wire

MARCH 8, 2024

Real estate agents in the leafy suburbs of Bergen County, New Jersey say the current housing market — with historically low inventory and record-high prices — is actually more challenging than the multiple offer chaos they sweated through during the pandemic. “At We are still going to suffer from lack of inventory.”

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Housing Market Buyers Agents Marketing 468

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 23, 2021

Then, mortgage rates plummeted to historic-lows , opening the homebuying floodgates and propelling prices skyward. Rates have slowly climbed back towards 3% in the past few months, but inventory is still low , keeping prices high. Of course, this is all fantastic news for anyone looking to sell their home in 2021. December 2020’s 10.4%

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Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2021

to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 775,000 in February — the sharpest month-over-month decline since 2013, according to estimates by the U.S. While some economists pointed to harsh weather as a likely deterrent of February home sales, others noted the plague of rising home prices, limited inventory and the uptick in mortgage rates.

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Construction Buyers Development Contracts 532

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 20, 2020

In contrast, multifamily starts fell 16.4%, to one of the slowest monthly paces since 2013, not including this past April.” ” Mortgage Bankers Association Senior Vice President and Chief Economist Mike Fratantoni noted that single-family permits jumped 24.3% . “The former rose 8.5% over the month to 1.1

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Construction New Listings Housing Market Inventory 505

Housing Wire

JULY 26, 2022

They also learned their lesson quickly in 2018 as mortgage rates at 5% were too high for construction growth.” ” Mortgage rates have risen, and the builders have many homes under construction, so they’re going to stall things until they know they can sell their homes. In response, they stalled construction for 30 months.

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Construction Housing Market Inventory Marketing 514

Housing Wire

APRIL 28, 2021

The Federal Open Market Committee left future economic policies virtually unchanged at its Wednesday meeting, indicating it has not made any near-term plans to taper its asset purchases of Treasury – and mortgage-backed securities (MBS).

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Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 459

Housing Wire

JUNE 15, 2022

Mohtashami focused on the latest inventory and the Federal Reserve’s rate hike announcement. In 2013-2014, when rates jumped very fast, this index trended down by negative 20% year over year to hit an adjusted population all-time low in 2014. How will the announcement impact mortgage rates? What do you expect to hear?

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Inventory Investors Retail Housing Market 370

Housing Wire

JANUARY 8, 2021

In the new year, Mortgage Bankers Association chief economist Mike Fratantoni said the lack of inventory is the biggest constraint to further growth in home sales for 2021. Despite builder confidence hitting a 35-year-high in November , the census bureau still estimates new home sales have just over a four-month supply.

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Construction Retail Law Inventory 468

Housing Wire

MAY 6, 2022

So far this year, with the rise in mortgage rates, it is still trending better than I thought it would have with rates over 5%. HousingWire: Will inventory finally break the streak and be positive year over year? Logan Mohtashami: The year-over-year inventory trends will finally show some positive prints in the upcoming weeks.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Construction 370

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 2, 2020

The last time we had a consistent downtrend in existing home sales was back in 2013-2014. Mortgage rates followed, which dampened demand. Plus, we have solid demographics and low mortgage rates. We saw this in 2018 and then spent the entire year of 2019 selling off the excess inventory. months only once, in April, at 6.8

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Design 545

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 23, 2020

In the third quarter, luxury home sales jumped 41.5% , the biggest year-over-year shift since 2013, according to Redfin. While the Palm Beach housing market has not seen a lot of bidding wars, Koch said that a lot of the inventory has been absorbed and properties are getting multiple offers. 1, and runs through May 1. “So

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Housing Market Marketing Real Estate Agent Real Estate 537

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 2, 2020

AmeriHome on Thursday became the latest mortgage lender to file for a public offering, the latest to do so amid a coronavirus pandemic that has helped spur record origination volume this year. ” AmeriHome, founded in 2013, operates correspondent and consumer direct channels , and also sports a related servicing division.

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Valuation Mortgage Business Modernization 374

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 21, 2022

year-over-year decline in existing home sales in September and total inventory has now fallen on back-to-back reports. Earlier in the year, I labeled this a savagely unhealthy housing market based on the premise that Inventory would break to all-time lows, creating forced bidding and causing days on the market to collapse.

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Housing Market Inventory New Listings Mortgage 305

Cleveland Appraisal Blog

JANUARY 5, 2023

How have the rapidly increasing mortgage interest rates impacted the housing market in Northeast Ohio? While we still have a significant shortage of housing inventory in Cuyahoga County, we had more active listings last month than we had in December 2020 and 2021. Something else to watch is housing inventory.

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Housing Market Marketing Appraisal Inventory 369

Housing Wire

AUGUST 23, 2022

Tuesday’s new home sales report missed expectations and had negative revisions, which isn’t surprising given this sector of our economy simply can’t handle higher mortgage rates. We had missed sales estimates in 2013, 2014 and 2015. It’s more complicated with mortgage rates near 6% than with mortgage rates near 4%.

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Construction Housing Market Sellers Real Estate 370

Housing Wire

APRIL 18, 2023

In a cyclical mortgage industry, hedging is key to maintaining a buffer against losses. Since launching as a call center in 2003, the California lender has expanded into the outside distributed retail model with a target on the purchase mortgage market, serviced its own loans and developed its tech stack in-house.

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Retail Business Agents Loan Officers 370

Housing Wire

APRIL 5, 2021

In its most recent annual report to Congress, November 2020, the Federal Housing Administration ( FHA ) published its “capital ratio,” a measure of capital reserves to insurance-in-force held within the Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund (MMI Fund). The same report revealed FHA had amassed capital reserves in the amount of $78.9

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Insurance Housing Market Mortgage Government 353

Housing Wire

AUGUST 31, 2022

After two record-setting years of mortgage origination volume, the mortgage industry is contracting, sharply. Based on our read of 2021 Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) data, we estimate that total originations volume last year was $4.4 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association.

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Lending Mortgage Real Estate Loan Officers 397

Housing Wire

APRIL 22, 2024

Many of us are in sellers’ markets with very low inventory. Inventory is extremely low, and the competition is fierce. House-hacking is a great way to build wealth and pay down your mortgage. Buyer’s agents who can find their clients a home that’s not even on the market are instant heroes. Please share it in the comments!

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Real Estate Open Houses Brokerage Real Estate Agent 467

Appraisal Buzz

AUGUST 19, 2024

Boesel, who holds the position of Principal Economist in the Office of the Chief Economist at CoreLogic responsible for analyzing and forecasting housing and mortgage market trends, including the single-family rental market. Boesel is a frequent speaker at leading industry events and contributor to several industry publications.

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