Remove 2012 Remove New Listings Remove Sellers
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New listings data is growing and prices still aren’t crashing

Housing Wire

The rules of supply and demand economics always end up winning and weekly new listing data is key. New listing data is growing year over year, but it will be the second-lowest new listing data ever recorded in history. With more sellers who are buyers, we have a tad more demand this year.

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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

Post-2012, whenever mortgage rates rise, existing home sales always trend below 5 million. Homeowners are in a better financial situation now, they live in their homes longer and longer, so the inventory channels have been much different post-2012. New listing data is down 5% year to date, as you can imagine.

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Are we seeing a mortgage rate lockdown?

Housing Wire

Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter. It wasn’t the rate move that caught my attention — it was the new listing data. As you can see below, that sharp move to 6.25% caused new listing data to stall at first.

Mortgage 525
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Is housing inventory growth really slowing down?

Housing Wire

One of the most important housing market stories in recent weeks has been the decline in new listings , which has slowed the growth rate of total inventory. Redfin : Realtor.com : Altos Research : Clearly, we are seeing a slowdown in new listings as the data has been negative now for months. What does this mean?

Inventory 526
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Credit data shows: There’s no housing crash coming

Housing Wire

We had multiple refinancing waves in 2012, 2016, 2020 and 2021. The new listings data we track with Altos Research is trending at the lowest levels ever during the past few years, while back then it was running at accelerated levels. We had a lot of stressed sellers back then! Here is an example with our Nov.

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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

Since most sellers are buyers, inventory should be stable if demand is stable. So you can see why we have so few stressed sellers. A perfect example is that the last few years, new listings have been trending between 30,000 and 90,000 per week. Demographics also play a role here.

Inventory 518
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Have we found the bottom in existing home sales?

Housing Wire

.” One of the housing economic realities that I have been trying to stress this year is that a traditional seller of a home is typically a buyer as well. This explains why total active listing inventory data has been stable over the decades, with the exception of 2006-2011, when those forced distressed credit home sellers couldn’t buy.

Inventory 531