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Florida was one of the hottest destinations during the pandemic, but the states housingmarket might be coming down to earth. According to a report from Redfin, for-sale inventory at the end of January in Florida was up 22.7% Redfin attributes the rise in inventory to several factors. year over year. year-over-year jump.
Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housinginventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. Weekly housinginventory The numbers this week are unfortunate: inventory should be growing like it does at this time every year.
The housingmarket is hot. You may be told that future moderation indicates “cracks in the housingmarket, but don’t buy into it. I previously wrote that if we really saw cracks in the housingmarket, these are a few indicators to track and to beware of doom and gloom housing headlines.
While demand is solid, the savagely unhealthy aspect of housing is continuing. Inventory has broken to all-time lows, but it doesn’t look like the year-over-year data will be positive at all this year unless demand softens up. NAR Research : Unsold inventory sits at a 1.7-month NAR Research : Unsold inventory sits at a 1.7-month
Housing credit channels directly impact housinginventory channels. Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. NAR Active Inventory Data, traditionally between 2-2.5
million , with double-digit home-price growth driving a housingmarket that is still savagely unhealthy. This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. Inventory is always seasonal. Today inventory levels are at 1.02
One of the most important housingmarket stories in recent weeks has been the decline in new listings , which has slowed the growth rate of total inventory. Once that happens, I can finally take the savagely unhealthy housingmarket theme off my talking points. What does this mean? million to 1.93
Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. Total inventory levels. NAR: Total Inventory levels 1.22 million Historically inventory levels range between 2 million and 2.5 Mortgage rates went from a low of 2.5% to a high of 7.37% — purely savage.
The 2022 housingmarket was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. HousingInventory. Home price s.
It is no secret that the housingmarket is suffering from an ongoing inventory drought. Existing housinginventory fell by 11,021 homes week over week for the week ending March 6, according to data from Altos Research. million housing units were started , and 11.9 In 2022, 2.06 million households.
Just when I thought days on market were returning to normal, that number for existing homes fell back down to 22 days. If the days on the market are at a teenager level or even lower, it’s never a good sign for the housingmarket. If we had a massive credit boom-to-bust, inventory would have skyrocketed in 2022.
growth for its top 20 city composite, and now you know why my most significant concern for housing was home prices overheating , not crashing like people have warned about from 2012-2021. This data line lags the current housingmarket as it’s a few months old. While people were talking about housing bubble 2.0
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. The Federal Reserve wanted to see the bidding wars end and the days on the market grow.
housingmarket is split into two groups: first-time buyers struggling to enter the market and current homeowners buying with cash,” Jessica Lautz , NAR’s deputy chief economist and vice president of research, said in a statement accompanying the report. “The In 2012, 59% of homebuyers had no children under the age of 18.
Home prices are skyrocketing, housinginventory is at all-time lows and homebuyers have to contend with multiple bids. In time, markets always find balance and balance is a good thing. But, that doesn’t mean housing is going to crash. Inventory velocity. April 10, 2020: We needed a lot of inventory, fast.
A bullish housingmarket. economic recovery was a false story and that we were about to embark on a second housing bubble crash due to forbearance. The housingmarket didn’t crash at all, in fact, more Americans bought homes with mortgages in 2021 than in 2020. What a year 2021 has been. The excellent.
Home price appreciation seems to be settling into a more comfortable pace, just as inventory levels pick up going into 2025: welcome news for prospective buyers who continue to face the headwinds of high mortgage rates. With that being said, the index also reached a new record high for the 17th month in a row. last month). Jul-06 134.00
Home prices aren’t crashing, despite what the housing bubble boys are saying. The housing bubble boys are a crew that from 2012 to 2019 screamed housing crash every year. I mean, it’s year 11 now of the housing bubble 2.0 Purchase application data The housingmarket began to change starting Nov.
Slower price growth and rising inventory : A cooling housingmarket has made it less appealing for investors to flip homes for profit. Seattle also saw the largest increase in investor market share, with investors buying 11.3% High home prices : Investors are facing the same affordability challenges as other buyers.
I am going to do my best to try to make sense of what is happening with the housingmarket right now, since the years 2020-2024 have been a talking point of mine for years and my biggest concern since the fall of 2020 has been prices overheating — not having a deflationary collapse. . A short history of the housing crash narrative.
It deepened an already existing inventory shortage and worsened affordability woes. However, homebuyers are resourceful and show signs of adaptation to the current market BofA researchers found that homebuyers were willing to sacrifice several features to find their home quicker.
million homes the third-largest gap for any year since 2012, trailing only 2020 and 2023. Though a rise in both multi- and single-family construction offered some relief amid low existing inventory, addressing the gap will take sustained effort and smart policy. But as Hale pointed out, the U.S. still faces a supply shortfall of 3.8
soared 18% year-over-year in March 2021 to a median of $356,000, according to a report Redfin released Friday that provided stark evidence of a housingmarket where demand greatly exceeds supply. Homes sold in March were on the market for 21 days, per the report, the shortest period between listing and sale since 2012.
Despite what they promised, we sit here today with the United States housingmarket outperforming all other economic sectors in the world during the pandemic. In order for the housingmarket to crash due to too many loans going into default when forbearance programs end, the number of loans in these programs needs to grow.
On Wednesday, existing home sales collapsed near the lows we saw during COVID-19 and back in 2007 when the housing bubble burst. In addition, this is the fourth straight month of inventory declining, while days on the market are growingl! Plus, available housinginventory remains near historic lows.”
Looking at the housingmarket in the years 2020-2024, one risk i identified early on was that home prices could accelerate more in this period than we saw in the previous expansion if inventory channels broke to all-time lows. housingmarket as savagely unhealthy. Over the last two and a half years of U.S.
I get to work, in my opinion, at the company that’s got the best platform out there, that I’ve been fortunate to be along for the ride since going back to 2012, so I feel like I’m getting the keys to like a high performance vehicle already. But my biggest focus initially is going to be the loan officers.
The premise of a mortgage rate lockdown is simple: so many American households have such low mortgage rates that some will never move once rates rise, which then locks up housinginventory. Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter.
You think things are bad in the housingmarket now? Even the most battle-tested industry players are preparing for one of the strongest housingmarket corrections in decades. Probably, the housingmarket needs to go to a correction to get to that place.” ” Where is the housingmarket heading?
However, the housingmarket did run into one problem in 2020. Inventory levels broke to all-time lows and thus created massive housing inflation quickly, which broke my model. I knew housing would be OK as long as home prices only grew at 23% over five years — 4.6% nominal per year at most.
The deal comes at a time when a lack of for-sale home inventory is boosting the appetite for homebuilders. The transaction could also signal investors’ re-entry into the housingmarket after institutional investors shed properties at the end of 2022 following a drop in housing prices nationwide.
The online reaction was immediate — housing must be about to crash. That’s not to say that the data points the Fed used are incorrect — in fact, we are in a savagely unhealthy housingmarket , but it’s not a bubble. First, because there is no speculative debt demand going on today, there can’t be a housing bubble.
While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housingmarket trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. I have documented the history of these housing price crash addicts for a decade now. Housinginventory issue with no booming demand.
The median existing-home price for all housing types in May was $350,300, up 23.6% For the NAR, this is a record high and marks 111 straight months of year-over-year gains since March 2012. Total housinginventory at the end of May grew to 1.23 million units, up 7% from April’s inventory and down 20.6%
Declining mortgage rates could have improved affordability for buyers in the housingmarket in February, but instead spurred a demand that, combined with a persistent lack of inventory across the U.S., “In many areas of the country, that dynamic – low inventory and a modest rise in demand – led to an uptick in home prices.”
Weekly housinginventory data For the third consecutive week, we haven’t quite reached my weekly target of inventory growth between 11,000 and 17,000 homes. However, we came close to our target with inventory growth of 9,726 and there’s a silver lining: mortgage rates have recently fallen.
The homeownership rate in Texas rose to an all-time high of 70% in the third quarter, exceeding the national metric for the first time since 2012, according to a report from the Texas A&M Real Estate Center. Housinginventory in Texas has dropped to 2.2 In fact, inventory for homes priced less than $300,000 sits at 1.6
Knowing that the housing crash addicts on YouTube , Twitter , Facebook , and Clubhouse would incorrectly push the negative year-over-year data spin, I wanted to get ahead of that narrative. Then everyone went crazy on investors and iBuyers , suggesting that these people were holding up the entire housingmarket.
And with the ability to buy down consumers’ mortgage rates while still maintaining double-digit margins, new construction grew to comprise roughly 30% of total housinginventory in 2023, more than double a normal year. million housing units due to a severe lack of supply produced between 2012 and 2019. million and 7.3
The National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo HousingMarket Index rose two points to 85 in October – the highest score the series has ever recorded since its inception 35 years ago and the second month in its history the score broke 80. year over year in September – the largest annual increase since at least 2012.
of Millennials nationally in 2012. metros, millennials in 2012 were more likely to be rent burdened than Gen Z renters at the same age in 2022. Millennials in 2012 were more likely than Gen Z renters in 2022 to face rent stress in 17 of the nation’s 30 major metro areas. Rent accounted for more than 30% of the income of 60.2%
A decline of the index, benchmarked to 100 in March 2012, indicates lending standards are tightening while an increase suggests loosening credit. Kan had projected that lower rates combined with signs of more inventory coming to the market could lead to a rebound in purchase activity. The MCAI fell to 108.8
The effects of low housinginventory continue to cause significant ripples in the housingmarket, as a recent Redfin report shows home sale prices across the country have reached an average of $344,625 — an all-time high, and an 18% increase year over year. That’s also 16 days fewer than the same period in 2020.
A lot of the housing data was lagging the rate move, so it wasn’t apparent that higher rates impacted the data yet. Going back to the summer of 2020, the one factor that I said could change the housingmarket was the 10-year yield getting above 1.94%. However, the housingmarket changed once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%.
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