Remove 2011 Remove New Listings Remove Sellers
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New listings data is growing and prices still aren’t crashing

Housing Wire

The rules of supply and demand economics always end up winning and weekly new listing data is key. New listing data is growing year over year, but it will be the second-lowest new listing data ever recorded in history. With more sellers who are buyers, we have a tad more demand this year.

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The standoff between homebuyers and sellers

Housing Wire

There’s a showdown at the housing market corral between homebuyers and sellers. The only time this happened was 2006-2011 — the housing bust years. Home prices ebb and flow, pricing was working in the sense that sellers met homebuyers to a degree. Image by Brandon Johnson/HW Media.). Now fast forward to 2022.

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Housing inventory defied all predictions in 2023

Housing Wire

Since I believe most home sellers are also homebuyers, once new listings created a new low level after mortgage rates reached over 6% in 2022, it added another layer of home demand falling off a cliff. What we want to see in 2024 is new listing data growing in the spring season. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Inventory 521
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Credit data shows: There’s no housing crash coming

Housing Wire

The new listings data we track with Altos Research is trending at the lowest levels ever during the past few years, while back then it was running at accelerated levels. Look at the difference between this week in 2024 versus the same weeks in 2009-2011. We had a lot of stressed sellers back then!

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Mortgage rates helped by the Fed’s moderate stance

Housing Wire

The growth isn’t just in active inventory but also new listings. We’re not seeing seller stress in the inventory data but just a typical increase in inventory when rates are higher, which looks perfectly normal. Weekly housing inventory data The best housing story for 2024 so far is that inventory is growing yearly.

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Have we found the bottom in existing home sales?

Housing Wire

.” One of the housing economic realities that I have been trying to stress this year is that a traditional seller of a home is typically a buyer as well. This explains why total active listing inventory data has been stable over the decades, with the exception of 2006-2011, when those forced distressed credit home sellers couldn’t buy.

Inventory 531
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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

The one period where this didn’t happen was from 2006-2011, when credit forced Americans to sell, to rent or to be homeless. During that period, we saw new listing data decline. Outside of that time period, everything else from 1982 to 2023 was normal.

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