Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 24, 2024

Mortgage rates have risen recently but they could be much worse than they are today. Mortgage rates and the 10-year yield The 10-year yield is the key for housing in 2024. The most important data line for me, along with mortgage rates , is jobless claims data because I value labor data over inflation. That hasn’t happened.

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Mortgage Inventory New Listings Housing Market 505

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Since the weaker CPI data was released in November, bond yields and mortgage rates have been heading lower. The question then was: What would lower mortgage rates do to this data? However, mortgage rates have fallen more than 1% since the recent highs, so it’s time to look at the data to explain how to interpret it.

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Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 544

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 27, 2023

In the week following the Federal Open Market Committee ‘s meeting, mortgage applications sunk. 22, mortgage applications fell 1.3% from the prior week , according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association. It is still facing limited for-sale inventory and struggling with affordability issues.

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Mortgage Contracts Inventory Marketing 468

Housing Wire

JUNE 2, 2022

I always try to focus people on the total inventory data until we get inventory back into a range of 1.52-1.93 HousingWire: To add to that, since housing is in an inventory shortage, the market has changed, so the good news is inventory is growing. What levels should we be hoping for? Then this happened. Ghost Supply 2.2

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2020

The reasons for that are solid demographics and low mortgage rates , which will not change much in 2021. For now, though, the low inventory means housing starts have legs to move higher. Existing home inventory is also at all-time lows. Unsold inventory sits at an all-time-low 2.5-month New Home Supply.

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Inventory Construction Government Housing Market 545

Housing Wire

AUGUST 16, 2022

Tuesday’s housing starts report clearly shows that homebuilders are going to be done with single-family construction until mortgage rates fall. Currently, we are in a much different housing recession than what we had from 2005-2011. In the past, builders benefitted when mortgage rates fell toward 4% and below.

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Mortgage Construction Inventory Buyers 533

Housing Wire

JUNE 29, 2024

Housing inventory is growing, but national home prices aren’t dropping dramatically, as the recent S&P CoreLogic Case Shiller index clearly showed. The last time we had a stressed seller market was when national home prices crashed in 2008-2011 and even with more inventory , we’re nowhere close to those levels.

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New Listings Inventory Contracts Sellers 415

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 21, 2023

The housing market continues to cool amid high mortgage rates , affordability challenges and still-low inventory. Housing inventory remains tight heading into fall Meanwhile, total housing inventory at the end of August was 1.1 Elevated mortgage rates add to affordability pain As of Aug. compared to a year ago. .

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Inventory Realtors Housing Market Mortgage 468

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 11, 2022

Inventory, which has been falling for years, broke to all-time lows in 2020. We didn’t have a seasonal push in inventory in 2020, and things worsened in 2021. To top it all off, we started 2022 at all-time lows, forcing bidding action everywhere until mortgage rates rose. to over 7% in a very short period of time.

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Sellers Inventory Housing Market New Listings 514

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2022

In addition, this is the fourth straight month of inventory declining, while days on the market are growingl! “The principal factor was the rapid increase in mortgage rates, which hurt housing affordability and reduced incentives for homeowners to list their homes. Plus, available housing inventory remains near historic lows.”

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Inventory New Listings Housing Market Sellers 531

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 17, 2022

As mortgage rates rose and housing inventory increased, home price growth decelerated in the third quarter of 2022, according to the Fannie Mae Home Price Index ( FNM-HPI ) released Monday. This is the slowest quarter of growth since Q4 2011. The FNM-HPI found that home price growth was at an annualized rate of 13.2% in Q3 2022.

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Inventory Buyers Mortgage Housing Market 418

Housing Wire

MAY 31, 2024

Large institutional investors typically emerged following a raft of defaults and foreclosures stemming from the 2007-08 financial crisis , putting inventory on the market from 2007-09. Studies GAO reviewed found that no investor owned 1,000 or more single-family rental homes as of late 2011,” the results said.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 21, 2023

The mortgage industry started 2023 with optimism due to an increase in housing activity. Fannie Mae expects home sales to remain subdued for the remainder of 2023, although recent mortgage application data came in stronger than expected. million, it still marks the slowest annual pace of sales since 2011. million units.

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Inventory Mortgage Housing Market Contracts 397

Housing Wire

JANUARY 5, 2023

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. Mortgage rates. Home price s.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 543

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2022

Even though this was a beat of estimates, the sales decline trend due to higher mortgage rates and home prices continues. The savagely unhealthy housing market theme of mine is running in full force now as we have gotten no relief on home prices and now have a mega jump in mortgage rates. . I am a big fan of inventory to 2019 levels.

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Inventory Housing Market New Listings Mortgage 482

Housing Wire

AUGUST 24, 2023

Mortgage rate shot up again last week as the bond market continues to grapple with a growing economy in the run up to the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting. By contrast, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was at 5.55% a year ago at this time. Other indices showed even higher mortgage rates.

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Mortgage Property Taxes Investors Buyers 370

Housing Wire

JANUARY 19, 2024

We don’t have any data that shows sales are crashing from this low level: this is key when looking at the future because it does give us a place to grow sales as long as mortgage rates fall. Remember, with median sales prices and inventory, it’s very seasonal. However, remember, the dive in inventory is normal at this time of the year.

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Housing Market Inventory Contracts Marketing 493

Housing Wire

MARCH 30, 2023

Donny Kirby, former vice president of national direct-to-consumer sales at Wyndham Capital Mortgage , spent more than 12 years at Charlotte, North Carolina-based company before leaving to start a mortgage broker shop, Cornerstone Home Loans. Connie Kim: You had a long run at Wyndham Capital Mortgage dating back to 2011.

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Mortgage Retail Loan Officers Brokerage 418

Housing Wire

APRIL 8, 2022

Home prices are skyrocketing, housing inventory is at all-time lows and homebuyers have to contend with multiple bids. One of the reasons that I moved into the “team higher mortgage rate” camp is that what I saw in January, February, and March of this year was so unhealthy that I labeled the housing market savagely unhealthy.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Lending 418

Housing Wire

JANUARY 1, 2024

The 2023 housing market faced one of the same roadblocks we saw in 2022: mortgage rates were too high for home sales growth. Here’s my forecast for 2024: 10-year yield and mortgage rates For 2024, the 10-year yield range will be similar to 2023, but with a few different variables to watch. Instead, they closed 2023 at 6.67%.

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Housing Market Marketing New Listings Construction 531

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2023

However, this time around, the Federal Reserve rate hike cycle is over, and we don’t need to worry about Fed presidents going on CNBC in 2024 crying about 6% mortgage rates making their lives difficult. In 2023, we had one big bounce in sales and then sales trended lower all year long as mortgage rates went from 6% to 8%.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Realtors 482

Housing Wire

MAY 22, 2024

While aging in place is a common choice, economic and mortgage market realities are also making it difficult to relocate even if someone may want to. The need for such renovations will only become more pressing as time goes on, due both to demographic trends and a suitability for aging in place that can be lacking in existing-home inventory.

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Renovations Design Home Improvement Advertising 459

Appraisal Buzz

JULY 16, 2024

As the wait for mortgage rate relief drags on, slower price growth and even dips in some areas will help buyers catch up on saving for a down payment.” /*! While inventory levels are still about 33% below pre-pandemic averages, that’s the smallest deficit since the fall of 2020, when the pool of available homes was quickly dropping.

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Home Value Inventory Buyers Sellers 397

Housing Wire

JANUARY 26, 2022

But what if the market conditions include historically low levels of available inventory for sale, and competing for that limited inventory with institutional investors as well as millions of millennial homebuyers? in 2021, the lowest level of gross margin since the first quarter of 2011, during the Great Recession.

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Real Estate Investors Inventory Business 459

Housing Wire

AUGUST 30, 2022

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. Housing inventory issue with no booming demand. Total Inventory had been growing from 2001-2005; total listings data in 2005 was at the higher historical range of 2.5

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Inventory New Listings Law Housing Market 397

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 1, 2022

Mortgage interest rates have risen quickly in the past few months further eroding affordability. As reported in the latest NAR Existing-Home Sales , inventory still remains in tight supply, which means homes are still moving at a fast past despite the recent rise in rates and home prices. It is difficult to obtain a mortgage today.

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Realtors Housing Market Marketing Buyers 418

Housing Wire

MARCH 9, 2022

from the fourth quarter of 2011 through the fourth quarter of 2021, according to NAR, and as of Q4 2021, the median single-family existing-home sales price rose by at least 10% in 67% of 183 metro areas tracked by NAR. . ” Nationwide, the median single-family existing-home sales price rose at an annual pace of 8.3%

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Home Value Realtors Marketing Inventory 468

Housing Wire

MAY 24, 2022

A few months ago, I wrote that the new home sales sector is at risk because of rising mortgage rates. My biggest thing is getting total inventory back to 2018-2019 levels, which can range from 1.52-1.93 However, this isn’t going to help much because the existing home sales market has a different inventory channel.

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Housing Market Inventory Construction Marketing 418

Appraisal Buzz

JUNE 25, 2024

Sustained outperformance of the Northeast market was last observed in 2011. In 2024, an inflation-driven surge in mortgage rates from 6.6% growth in active inventory in the housing market in this period. The Northeast is the best performing market for the previous nine months, with New York rising 9.4% from a year ago.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Sellers 356

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 17, 2023

The single-family rental (SFR) sector and its close cousin, the fix-and-flip market , are now essentially treading water in an environment of high interest rates , approaching 8%; high home prices; and a dearth of home-purchase inventory. in first quarter to 27.5% It remained way below the 44.6% hit in the second quarter of 2021.”

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Investors Inventory Investing Real Estate 448

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 29, 2021

The housing market didn’t crash at all, in fact, more Americans bought homes with mortgages in 2021 than in 2020. mortgage rates, so on the mortgage rate side of the equation, it’s never been better. Mortgage debt service payments as a percent of disposable personal income are near all-time lows.

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Housing Market Marketing Construction Mortgage 534

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 23, 2022

Stick around and see if mortgage rates climb into the 7% range. Mortgage-backed securities are right about the worst place on the duration spectrum for this move. Mortgage-backed securities are right about the worst place on the duration spectrum for this move. .” Blake Bianchi, CEO of Future Mortgage.

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Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Buyers 370

Housing Wire

AUGUST 10, 2023

With regular reports and data coming out on what’s blocking inventory growth, the biggest factors impacting rates and the latest shifts in home sales, there’s a lot of information out there to help you inject more confidence into your business strategy. Logan Mohtashami: Inventory is still savagely unhealthy.

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New Listings Inventory Business Marketing 367

Appraisal Buzz

DECEMBER 16, 2024

As the new year draws near, Fannie Mae anticipates that many of the housing trends from 2024 will persist in 2025, with the lock-in effect of mortgage rates and housing affordability continuing to be major obstacles for countless Americans. In 2025, economists predict that the average mortgage rate will continue to be higher than 6%.

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Inventory Construction Housing Market Mortgage 240

Housing Wire

APRIL 21, 2022

A former Texas A&M cross country and track athlete and Episcopalian minister, Ballard in 2011 co-founded TreeHouse , a retailer to sell environmentally friendly home construction materials. “The state of the housing crisis,” Pullen said, “Is such that we do not have the luxury to say ‘no’ to any innovative approach.”.

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Construction Supply Chain Investors Business 418

Lamacchia Realty

JANUARY 25, 2024

It kept inventory down, which propped up prices, but sales are down nearly 22%, and buyers are hungry. With rates trying to reach equilibrium after their nosedive in 2020, everyone has had to accept that pandemic-era rates are a thing of the past and therefore higher monthly mortgage payments are here to stay. Sales Decline by 21.7%

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Inventory Sellers Contracts Buyers 73

Lamacchia Realty

JANUARY 25, 2024

As interest rates sought to stabilize following their sharp decline in 2020, both buyers and sellers had to acknowledge the end of the era of historically low pandemic-induced rates, and the beginning of higher monthly mortgage payments. The decline in inventory has made it impossible for prices to decrease due to demand.

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Inventory Sellers Buyers Real Estate 62