Remove 2011 Remove Buyers Remove New Listings
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New listings data is growing and prices still aren’t crashing

Housing Wire

The rules of supply and demand economics always end up winning and weekly new listing data is key. New listing data is growing year over year, but it will be the second-lowest new listing data ever recorded in history. With more sellers who are buyers, we have a tad more demand this year.

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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory finally rises

Housing Wire

Here’s a quick rundown of the last week: Active listings rose by 8,546 , and new listing data showed some growth. If that is the case, then this week’s gain in active inventory and new listings needs to be taken with a grain of salt until we get next week’s data. However, I will take what I can now.

Inventory 545
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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

The one period where this didn’t happen was from 2006-2011, when credit forced Americans to sell, to rent or to be homeless. From NAR : “December was another difficult month for buyers, who continue to face limited inventory and high mortgage rates ,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. Also, this is what the Federal Reserve wants.

Inventory 541
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Have we found the bottom in existing home sales?

Housing Wire

.” One of the housing economic realities that I have been trying to stress this year is that a traditional seller of a home is typically a buyer as well. This explains why total active listing inventory data has been stable over the decades, with the exception of 2006-2011, when those forced distressed credit home sellers couldn’t buy.

Inventory 531
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Will mortgage rates keep heading lower? 

Housing Wire

Moving the needle doesn’t take much since we all know we have buyers ready to go and home sales are at record lows. Weekly new listing data for the last week over several previous years: 2024: 59,243 2023: 50,687 2022: 59,661 For some historical context, new listing data this week in 2011 was 362,248.

Mortgage 505
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Existing home sales are working from a historic low bar

Housing Wire

From NAR: First-time buyers were responsible for 29% of sales in December; Individual investors purchased 16% of homes; All-cash sales accounted for 29% of transactions; Distressed sales represented 2% of sales; Properties typically remained on the market for 29 days. This is a positive for housing in 2024 as most sellers are buyers.

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Homebuyers increasingly seek ARMs as mortgage rates soar 

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates were 7.22% for conforming and 6.15% for jumbos at Mortgage News Daily on Wednesday, a spread of 107 bps. Buyers, builders and sellers take a step back as inflation persists . Sellers are responding to the shift in the market and pulling back on listing activity, resulting in a 9.8% ARMs pick up steam.

Mortgage 435