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New listings data is growing and prices still aren’t crashing

Housing Wire

The rules of supply and demand economics always end up winning and weekly new listing data is key. New listing data is growing year over year, but it will be the second-lowest new listing data ever recorded in history. For the fifth time this year, inventory hit my target level with elevated mortgage rates.

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Credit data shows: There’s no housing crash coming

Housing Wire

None of that action has been happening for 14 years because the credit market changed after the 2010 qualified mortgage rule. FICO score data The FICO score data is the sexiest economic data in America — it’s been hot since 2010! Also, back in 2010, over 23% of homes were underwater; today, it’s the lowest percentage ever.

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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

After 2010, qualified mortgage laws were in place, meaning everyone getting a mortgage has to be able to repay the loan. This is what happened post 2010: The millennials started to buy homes in 2013 and they finance 90% of those homes. This matters because inventory was already heading toward all-time lows before COVID-19.

Inventory 518
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Is the spring housing market ready for the Fed’s déjà vu?

Housing Wire

Weekly housing inventory data The one positive story for me in housing this year is that inventory is growing year over year for both active inventory and new listing data. The one benefit of higher rates is that inventory can grow in the post-2010 qualified mortgage world as long as higher rates create softness in demand.

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The health of this housing market: Comparing 2024 data to 2011

Housing Wire

Consider: In the fourth quarter of 2010, 23.1% But since we have such low active listings today, even with 2024 being another year of low home sales, the days on the market are still under 30 days, which means homes that are priced right are selling quickly. For the same week this year, the number was 70,606 new listings.

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Weekly active inventory growth still too slow

Housing Wire

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. Still, new listing data is a positive story. Still, new listing data is a positive story. As we head into April, let’s see where we’re at on the Inventory side as are officially into spring.

Inventory 501
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Have we found the bottom in existing home sales?

Housing Wire

This explains why total active listing inventory data has been stable over the decades, with the exception of 2006-2011, when those forced distressed credit home sellers couldn’t buy. Since the credit standards have improved post-2010, we shouldn’t see distressed sellers until a job loss recession happens, even if sales fall noticeably.

Inventory 531