Remove 2010 Remove Mortgage Remove New Listings
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New listings data is growing and prices still aren’t crashing

Housing Wire

The rules of supply and demand economics always end up winning and weekly new listing data is key. New listing data is growing year over year, but it will be the second-lowest new listing data ever recorded in history. For the fifth time this year, inventory hit my target level with elevated mortgage rates.

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Credit data shows: There’s no housing crash coming

Housing Wire

However, I will give you all the charts to show Uncle Dave that housing credit doesn’t look like it did in 2008 because the qualified mortgage (QM) law makes that impossible. None of that action has been happening for 14 years because the credit market changed after the 2010 qualified mortgage rule.

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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

After 2010, qualified mortgage laws were in place, meaning everyone getting a mortgage has to be able to repay the loan. You can see the drastic change this made in the Mortgage Bankers Association Credit Availability index , below, which skyrocketed in 2005 and 2006 before an epic collapse in 2008.

Inventory 518
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Is the spring housing market ready for the Fed’s déjà vu?

Housing Wire

The 10-year yield is at the same critical point as last year before the Fed went hawkish and sent mortgage rates to 8% and the 10-year yield to 5%. A serious 10-year yield and mortgage rate talk My work on housing moves around the 10-year yield and the economics that move that. Could this happen again?

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Weekly active inventory growth still too slow

Housing Wire

The best housing story in 2024 is that inventory is growing — both active inventory and new listings. With mortgage rates at the current levels, inventory is still below my expectations, but it’s still such a positive story that I had to discuss it on CNBC last week. Still, new listing data is a positive story.

Inventory 501
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Have we found the bottom in existing home sales?

Housing Wire

“The principal factor was the rapid increase in mortgage rates, which hurt housing affordability and reduced incentives for homeowners to list their homes. Since the credit standards have improved post-2010, we shouldn’t see distressed sellers until a job loss recession happens, even if sales fall noticeably.

Inventory 531
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The health of this housing market: Comparing 2024 data to 2011

Housing Wire

Today’s housing market suffers from affordability issues due to mortgage rates in the 7s and high home prices. Consider: In the fourth quarter of 2010, 23.1% New listings The most significant and glaring difference between 2011 and 2024 is the weekly new listings data for the peak season.