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Fannie Mae on Q4: Existing home sales will be lowest since 2010

Housing Wire

million on an annualized basis – the lowest since Q3 2010. Compared to October 2022, existing home sales slumped 14.6%, down from 4.44 Fannie Mae expects Q4 seasonally adjusted existing home sales to be 3.9 Total home sales are projected to come in at around 4.8 million in 2023, 4.7 million in 2024 and 5.3 million in 2025. in 2024 and 6.9%

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Credit data shows: There’s no housing crash coming

Housing Wire

None of that action has been happening for 14 years because the credit market changed after the 2010 qualified mortgage rule. FICO score data The FICO score data is the sexiest economic data in America — it’s been hot since 2010! Also, back in 2010, over 23% of homes were underwater; today, it’s the lowest percentage ever.

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This is not 2008 all over again for the housing market

Housing Wire

The previous economic expansion, from 2010-2019, wasn’t a housing bubble. Because of this I am calling this the unhealthiest housing market post-2010. When you hear people say that the current housing market is like 2008 all over again, you may want to remind them of the huge differences between this market and that one.

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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

After 2010, qualified mortgage laws were in place, meaning everyone getting a mortgage has to be able to repay the loan. This is what happened post 2010: The millennials started to buy homes in 2013 and they finance 90% of those homes. This matters because inventory was already heading toward all-time lows before COVID-19.

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Americans’ mortgage debt looks great again

Housing Wire

Post-2010, lending standards in America became normal again, and while I still believe they’re very liberal, they’re sane. What happened post-2010 is that exotic loan debt structures that don’t provide long-term fixed debt products left the system. I can’t emphasize enough how critical this aspect is to the American economy.

Mortgage 529
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Housing credit data in Q4 looks nothing like 2008

Housing Wire

Bankruptcies and foreclosures After 2010, the qualified mortgage laws came into play and all the exotic loan debt structures in the system, especially in the run-up in demand from 2002 to 2005, disappeared. Renters, younger renter households and those with lower FICO scores are the ones showing credit stress today.

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Renter market picks up in suburbs

Housing Wire

million new residents since 2010, with 3.7 Additionally, the number of suburban renters grew by 22% between 2010 and 2019, as compared to a 3% increase in the number of suburban homeowners during the same time period. American suburbs surrounding the nation’s 50 largest metropolitan areas gained a total of 4.7 Census Bureau data.

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