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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

Purchase application data is now below 2008 levels! But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. New listing data is down 5% year to date, as you can imagine. Right on cue, 2020 came and we hit the 300 level.

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New listings data falls for third week in a row 

Housing Wire

New listings data has been moving lower over the last few weeks. But, we need to see more growth in new listings data just to grow from 2023 levels. 2023 new listings data was the lowest ever on record, so it’s already a low bar.

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New listings data is growing and prices still aren’t crashing

Housing Wire

The rules of supply and demand economics always end up winning and weekly new listing data is key. New listing data is growing year over year, but it will be the second-lowest new listing data ever recorded in history. This is much different than what we saw in 2023.

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Housing inventory defied all predictions in 2023

Housing Wire

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. The speed at which home sales crashed in 2022 was historic, but in 2023, no matter how high mortgage rates got, new listings data didn’t create a new leg lower.

Inventory 521
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Credit data shows: There’s no housing crash coming

Housing Wire

This is the kind of information you need as we get close to Thanksgiving and share the dinner table with Uncle Dave who says (for the 13th year) that we’re seeing 2008 all over again. Foreclosure data The chart below shows that the 2008 housing crisis started years before the 2008 recession.

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The health of this housing market: Comparing 2024 data to 2011

Housing Wire

People are quick to panic over any part of the housing market that looks stressed, fearing we’ll see 2008 levels of destruction all over again. The housing bubble crash years of 2008-2011 saw a surge in foreclosures due to the lack of selling equity and this also profoundly impacted housing demand. of homes were underwater.

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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

You can see the drastic change this made in the Mortgage Bankers Association Credit Availability index , below, which skyrocketed in 2005 and 2006 before an epic collapse in 2008. Just look how lousy credit looked below in 2005, 2006 and 2007 — all before the job-loss recession in 2008. Demographics also play a role here.

Inventory 518