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Comparing this housing market recession to 2008

Housing Wire

There are similarities and significant differences between the housing recession we’ve seen this year versus 2008, and looking at specific factors in both timeframes gives us an idea of what to expect in 2023. Let’s look at the recessionary factors we see now versus 2008. Housing inventory. Home sales.

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Why didn’t we see a national home-price correction in 2024?

Housing Wire

Active inventory typically decreases at this time of year, but in 2024 it did not drop below 1 million. For me, the highlight of 2024 was the growth in active inventory. That situation is not present in todays housing market as active inventory is almost 1 million, not 4 million like in 2007. Also, the monthly supply is 3.3

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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

Purchase application data is now below 2008 levels! But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. Inventory levels broke to all-time lows and thus created massive housing inflation quickly, which broke my model.

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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

Housing credit channels directly impact housing inventory channels. Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. This matters because inventory was already heading toward all-time lows before COVID-19.

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Housing inventory defied all predictions in 2023

Housing Wire

Going into 2023, people thought housing inventory would skyrocket, home prices would crash, and we would see the housing market of 2008 all over again. Looking back on 2023, the inventory story was a big surprise even as mortgage rates headed toward 8%, as the data below will show. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

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Purchase apps are at 2009 level: where’s the inventory?

Housing Wire

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. How can housing inventory be so low today when it skyrocketed back in 2009? Now don’t get me wrong: demand is better in 2020 and 2021 than in any single year from 2008 to 2019. I don’t believe housing inventory below 1.52 What is going on here? housing market.

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Housing Market Tracker: Inventory finally rises

Housing Wire

Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. Still, we have some promising signs that we might have finally hit the inventory bottom for 2023. Again, I am a bit mindful here due to Easter.

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