Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

The financial and housing markets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

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Housing Wire

MAY 8, 2024

Housing credit channels directly impact housing inventory channels. Home prices escalated out of control after 2020 and when we look at why that happened, we can see that housing credit mattered more to inventory data than most people realize. NAR Active Inventory Data, traditionally between 2-2.5

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Housing Wire

JUNE 7, 2021

During the previous economic expansion from 2008 to 2019, the housing market was subject to the constant refrain of build more homes. The previous economic expansion from 2008 to 2019 was the weakest housing recovery ever. Because that period followed a housing boom and bust when inventory was overbuilt.

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Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. The housing market shifted in March of this year. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. Yes, crazy to think, but this is a survey trend data line, and the housing market was in free-fall at that time.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 11, 2022

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. But we have a housing shortage, right? If you look at the monthly supply for new homes from 1996 to 2005, it was always lower than what we saw from 2008 to 2019. Wait, what?

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Housing Wire

MAY 18, 2023

Just when I thought days on market were returning to normal, that number for existing homes fell back down to 22 days. If the days on the market are at a teenager level or even lower, it’s never a good sign for the housing market. If we had a massive credit boom-to-bust, inventory would have skyrocketed in 2022.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 22, 2023

The days on market are back to a teenager level in the existing home sales market, which means I can officially say we are back to a savagely unhealthy housing market! Nothing good happens in the housing market when the days on market are at a teenager level or lower. Unsold inventory sits at a 3.0-month

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Housing Wire

MAY 19, 2022

million , with double-digit home-price growth driving a housing market that is still savagely unhealthy. This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. Inventory is always seasonal. Today inventory levels are at 1.02

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 8, 2021

My biggest concern for housing in the years 2020-2024 was that if the demographic push in demand picks up and total home sales get over 6. 2 million , we could be at risk of housing inventory falling to such low levels that I would have to categorize this housing market as unhealthy.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 5, 2023

The 2022 housing market was savagely unhealthy , with all-time lows in inventory leading to massive bidding wars and price spikes until the Fed put a screeching halt to all of it with rate hikes that resulted in the most significant one-year spike in mortgage rate history. Housing Inventory. Home price s.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. The Federal Reserve wanted to see the bidding wars end and the days on the market grow.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2023

If there’s one sector of the economy that benefits from the very low levels of total housing inventory , it’s the homebuilders , but for a reason you might not think. If national housing inventory were back to normal, we would have 2 to 2.5 Rates did spike from 5.99% to 7.10% recently , impacting the data coming up.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 12, 2022

Early in 2021, when I was talking about how people should worry about home prices overheating, I had a glimmer of hope that maybe toward the end of 2021 we would be spared another seasonal collapse of inventory. Inventory always falls in the fall and winter, but I hoped it wouldn’t be a repeat of 2020.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. Total inventory levels. NAR: Total Inventory levels 1.22 million Historically inventory levels range between 2 million and 2.5 Mortgage rates went from a low of 2.5%

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Housing Wire

MAY 14, 2023

The rise of active listings in this spring housing market reminds me of a zombie slowly rising from its grave. Yes, we found the seasonal bottom for housing inventory on April 14, but this year’s rise in active listings has been tepid at best. Can you imagine the housing market at that point?

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 8, 2021

Forbearance will have to end at some point, and when it does, couldn’t all these homes flood the housing market at once, driving prices down and scaring would-be homeowners away from purchasing? . We know the current status of the housing market in America is vigorous, if not hot. Presented by: PropStream.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 18, 2020

increase above the revised June estimate in housing starts in July. This means we can add housing starts to our growing collection of V-shaped recovery charts for the 2020 housing market. From the report: Privately-owned housing starts in July were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,496,000.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2022

However, the real story of 2022 is that the savagely unhealthy housing market continues as inventory is still lower than last year, sending home prices growth into double digits again. housing market; the 10-year is above 1.94%, something that didn’t happen in 2020 or 2021. Unsold inventory sits at a 2.0-month

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 1, 2024

The 2023 housing market faced one of the same roadblocks we saw in 2022: mortgage rates were too high for home sales growth. Now that we’re in 2024, the Federal Reserve ‘s rate hike cycle is over, so let’s look at what that means for housing demand and home prices. Let’s look at that dynamic.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 29, 2022

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. But we have a housing shortage, right? If you look at the monthly supply for new homes from 1996 to 2005, it was always lower than what we saw from 2008 to 2019. Wait, what?

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Housing Wire

JUNE 26, 2024

Homebuilders with unsold inventory are feeling the pinch of high mortgage rates — and it’s showing up in new-home sales data. According to Bright MLS, the 481,000 new homes on the market is the most since January 2008, when homebuilders pulled back on production before the financial crisis. year-over-year drop and was 11.3%

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Housing Wire

APRIL 8, 2022

Home prices are skyrocketing, housing inventory is at all-time lows and homebuyers have to contend with multiple bids. In time, markets always find balance and balance is a good thing. But, that doesn’t mean housing is going to crash. The years 2020-2024 were always going to be different from 2008-2019.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 2, 2020

I’m talking about housing market crash headlines. The housing data has been wild this year. These dramatic peaks and valleys in the data have fed the demons of greed and fear that infest the minds our extreme housing bulls and the fierce housing market bears – leading to equally wild speculations about the future of U.S.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 2, 2021

For housing, March gained 110,000 jobs in construction – a positive sign in an industry struggling with supply constraints. There is a desperate lack of inventory in the housing market right now, which is driving up home prices at an unsustainably rapid pace, MBA’s senior vice president and chief economist Mike Fratantoni noted.

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 8, 2024

Despite the population decline, Illinois’ housing market remains relatively strong. The state has an Altos Research Market Action Index score of 44, which is above the national score of 39. Altos considers anything above 30 to be indicative of a seller’s market. It’s depressing,” Laricy said of the downtown market.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 8, 2020

Back in April, when the COVID-19 data and unemployment numbers were at their worst, the housing bubble boys had a halfway legitimate 2020 housing market crash thesis. This could have led to a rapid increase in inventory on the market, which would have crashed home prices as demand collapsed. Instead, the U.S.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 28, 2022

This data line lags the current housing market as it’s a few months old. Since 2014, we’ve not seen the credit housing boom that we saw from 2002-2005. Even today, the MBA purchase application index is below 2008 levels. To have that market, we need total inventory data to get back to 1.52-1.93

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 18, 2021

Homebuilders are navigating their housing stock well to make sure not to give up too much on the margin side of the business in the future. The previous economic expansion from 2008 to 2019 had the weakest housing recovery ever following the bust. The post Why aren’t builders creating more housing inventory?

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2023

Did today’s existing home sales report give us a playbook for housing in 2024? I would argue yes, and the housing market today looks a lot like what we saw in late 2022. I give more details in this interview on why I believe the housing market dynamics shifted on Nov. Unsold inventory sits at a 3.5-month

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 20, 2023

The last two years of soaring mortgage rates and rising home prices have brought the fastest erosion in housing market affordability in modern history, and it’s hurt first-time homebuyers the most. Inventory remains one of the driving forces in this difficult housing market.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 19, 2023

Meanwhile, the available inventory of unsold homes is growing. This week, inventory grew faster than it did last year at this time. This is alarming because this was the moment last year when the market turned south. Last year, inventory climbed dramatically for months. This is a trend worth watching. What’s happening?

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Housing Wire

JULY 7, 2022

We are in a unique moment in the history of housing. We interviewed more than 25 mortgage industry experts to gather the best insights, strategies, and recommendations to pivot and win in today’s market. 2022 State of the Mortgage Industry: Affordability and Inventory. Inventory rising, historically low.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 2, 2022

One top question he addresses is how the industry is reacting to this savagely unhealthy housing market. HW+ Member: What’s the number one question you are getting from the real estate agent community on the economy and housing market? The big difference now than, let’s say, what we saw from 2002-2008.

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Housing Wire

MAY 5, 2022

This article is part of our housing market update series. At the end of this series, you can join us on May 10 for a Housing Market Update webinar. Demographics still point towards a market with strong demand – the largest cohort of millennials, the largest generation in U.S. The post Has the housing market peaked?

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Housing Wire

MARCH 22, 2024

Unlike many other metropolitan areas across the country , the housing market in Southwest Florida is comparably flush with for-sale inventory. “I We are seeing a healthy increase in inventory, which we really needed.” Smith attributes the uptick in inventory to a bump in new listings.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 1, 2022

However, there are a number of attention-grabbing headlines, which unfortunately only compare today’s housing market to the very recent history of the last two years. It is always good to know where we are with the real estate market, but it is essential to keep all data in historical perspective. . Historically 2.5

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Housing Wire

MAY 2, 2023

The housing market functions differently than other markets because it can be characterized as a heterogeneous, thinly traded, illiquid market. In other words, it’s a diverse market with a wide variety of different homes of varying ages and levels of repair, and sales happen very rarely. The result is fewer sales.

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