Remove 2008 Remove Contracts Remove Housing Market
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The health of this housing market: Comparing 2024 data to 2011

Housing Wire

Today’s housing market suffers from affordability issues due to mortgage rates in the 7s and high home prices. People are quick to panic over any part of the housing market that looks stressed, fearing we’ll see 2008 levels of destruction all over again. Why choose 2011?

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Changing homebuyer expectations are slowing the housing market

Housing Wire

This “higher for longer” conventional wisdom is working its way through the housing market. There are 345,000 single-family homes in the contract pending stage. In this chart the height of each bar is the total count of homes in contract. There were still 390,000 single-family homes under contract last year mid-September.

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Housing Market Tracker: Mortgage rates and inventory fall together

Housing Wire

The financial and housing markets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

Inventory 476
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Opinion: Here’s the latest data on what Realtors are witnessing in the housing market

Housing Wire

However, there are a number of attention-grabbing headlines, which unfortunately only compare today’s housing market to the very recent history of the last two years. It is always good to know where we are with the real estate market, but it is essential to keep all data in historical perspective. . Historically 2.5

Realtors 418
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Home sales are going to nosedive in 2023, Fannie Mae says

Housing Wire

The forecast for the housing market in 2023 gets worse by the month, with the latest report predicting a million-plus decline in existing home sales. The slowing effect on the housing market of the higher mortgage rate environment has been largely predictable, and home prices appear to have already begun trending downward.”.

Contracts 448
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Existing home sales are working from a historic low bar

Housing Wire

It happened in 2008 and then didn’t happen again until 2023. Our housing market tracker counts weekly active single-family listings, those homes that aren’t in the contract, and the raw available number of homes for sale. Whenever the days on the market fall to a teenager level, nothing good happens in housing.

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The homebuilders got lucky this time

Housing Wire

Looking at the latest NAHB/Wells Fargo homebuilder confidence data and builder stock prices, I can say the homebuilders got very lucky this time around in the middle of a housing recession. There is one simple reason for this: it’s not 2008. While the two charts above are falling noticeably, housing completion data is slowly moving up.