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Comparing this housing market recession to 2008

Housing Wire

There are similarities and significant differences between the housing recession we’ve seen this year versus 2008, and looking at specific factors in both timeframes gives us an idea of what to expect in 2023. Let’s look at the recessionary factors we see now versus 2008. First, we must define what we mean by recession.

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How will rising rates affect new home construction?

Housing Wire

Census Bureau released their construction report for February, showing a positive trend in housing construction data with a lovely print in housing permits at 1,859,000 and housing starts at 1,769,000. So far, housing construction has done well during 2020-2022 considering the economic drama. Today, the U.S.

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Why we can’t build our way out of this hot housing market

Housing Wire

During the previous economic expansion from 2008 to 2019, the housing market was subject to the constant refrain of build more homes. The previous economic expansion from 2008 to 2019 was the weakest housing recovery ever. Because that period followed a housing boom and bust when inventory was overbuilt. Here is why.

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New home sales make it clear: Housing is in a recession

Housing Wire

This data line confirms what we all know to be the case: The housing market, at least as it relates to construction, is in a recession. We talked about this in March , and even last year, when I wrote about the problem with the housing construction boom premise. “I don’t expect a boom in housing construction.

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The biggest risk to the housing market right now

Housing Wire

First and foremost, it is important to remember that more Americans are buying homes with mortgages in 2020 and 2021 than any single year from 2008-2019. From 2008 to 2019 we had the weakest housing recovery ever, following a bust. Don’t expect a buying or construction boom during this period.

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The housing market recession continues, despite starts data

Housing Wire

From the National Association of Home Builders : Looking at the housing starts report, the numbers came in slightly better than anticipated, driven by multifamily construction. Still, it’s backward-looking and the growth in multifamily construction, which we desperately need to cool down rental inflation, has recently been positive.

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Purchase apps are at 2009 level: where’s the inventory?

Housing Wire

Now don’t get me wrong: demand is better in 2020 and 2021 than in any single year from 2008 to 2019. But we should ask: Why is inventory so much lower now if purchase application data is at 2009 levels — a period in time when inventory was rising noticeably in 2006, 2007, 2008 and 2009? Credit stress was evident from 2005 to 2008.

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