Remove 2008 Remove Buyers Remove New Listings
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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

Purchase application data is now below 2008 levels! But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. New listing data is down 5% year to date, as you can imagine. Right on cue, 2020 came and we hit the 300 level.

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New listings data is growing and prices still aren’t crashing

Housing Wire

The rules of supply and demand economics always end up winning and weekly new listing data is key. New listing data is growing year over year, but it will be the second-lowest new listing data ever recorded in history. With more sellers who are buyers, we have a tad more demand this year.

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How housing credit is shaping housing inventory

Housing Wire

You can see the drastic change this made in the Mortgage Bankers Association Credit Availability index , below, which skyrocketed in 2005 and 2006 before an epic collapse in 2008. Since most sellers are buyers, inventory should be stable if demand is stable. Demographics also play a role here.

Inventory 518
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Opinion: Riding the wave

Housing Wire

As the spring selling season kicks off, many educated sellers know that buyers are experiencing spring fever and are tired of sitting on the fence watching home prices increase. In Denver in particular, new listings increased 29.12% month-over-month and 22.63% year-over-year. With only 1.3

Inventory 451
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Have we found the bottom in existing home sales?

Housing Wire

” One of the housing economic realities that I have been trying to stress this year is that a traditional seller of a home is typically a buyer as well. This explains why total active listing inventory data has been stable over the decades, with the exception of 2006-2011, when those forced distressed credit home sellers couldn’t buy.

Inventory 531
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Are we seeing a mortgage rate lockdown?

Housing Wire

Typically we have a natural set of new listings each year; inventory rises in the spring and summer and then falls in the fall and winter. It wasn’t the rate move that caught my attention — it was the new listing data. As you can see below, that sharp move to 6.25% caused new listing data to stall at first.

Mortgage 525
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Days on market grow despite low inventory for existing homes

Housing Wire

I didn’t have to worry about this in the previous expansion — as my long-term work stated for a decade, the years 2008-2019, would have the weakest housing recovery ever. Seasonal impacts are the norm with housing, and new listing data is negative 6% year to date. NAR lists the current inventory at 1.22 months to 3.3

Inventory 493