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Comparing this housing market recession to 2008

Housing Wire

There are similarities and significant differences between the housing recession we’ve seen this year versus 2008, and looking at specific factors in both timeframes gives us an idea of what to expect in 2023. Let’s look at the recessionary factors we see now versus 2008. First, we must define what we mean by recession.

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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

Purchase application data is now below 2008 levels! But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. Post-2012, whenever mortgage rates rise, existing home sales always trend below 5 million. That happened in March of this year.

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Mortgage buy downs on the rise as builders try to entice more buyers

Housing Wire

The NAHB/HMI report is based on a monthly survey of NAHB members, in which respondents are asked to rate both current market conditions for the sale of new homes and expected conditions for the next six months, as well as traffic of prospective buyers of new homes. To bring in more buyers, 59% of builders surveyed reported using incentives.

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Mortgage rates climb as US yields hit highest level since 2008

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates continued to climb this week as U.S. bond yields hit their highest level since 2008. Freddie Mac ‘s Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which focuses on conventional and conforming loans with a 20% down payment, shows the 30-year fixed rate averaged 7.09% as of August 17, up from last week’s 6.96%.

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Home prices will drop to 2008-levels in these four cities: Goldman Sachs

Housing Wire

This, in turn, will lead to risks of higher delinquencies for mortgages originated last year or late 2021, according to the company. The expected declines in these markets are not far from what occurred during the 2008 housing crash, when home prices in the U.S. Mortgage rates will also stay higher for longer than investors expected.

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Homebuilders still need lower mortgage rates

Housing Wire

On the other hand, mortgage rates have gone down more than 1% since Oct. The builders’ stock prices have done well as mortgage rates have fallen , and this illustrates the simplicity of the homebuilders’ position: their story is really about mortgage rates and moving products. months and above. But since Oct.

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How auction buyer data foreshadows housing market shifts

Housing Wire

Retail housing market data from June showing early signs of a real estate slowdown was foreshadowed three months earlier in buyer behavior at foreclosure auctions. The downshift in buyer behavior at the foreclosure auction came two months before the downshift showed up in retail housing market data. That’s a safer range.”.