Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 8, 2021

Forbearance will have to end at some point, and when it does, couldn’t all these homes flood the housing market at once, driving prices down and scaring would-be homeowners away from purchasing? . We know the current status of the housing market in America is vigorous, if not hot. Here is a link to one of those articles.

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Housing Wire

JULY 19, 2022

The June housing starts data beat estimates with positive revisions, however, this doesn’t change the housing market recession call that I made last month. The housing completion data has been the most frustrating data line we have dealt with for years. This data line is already below 2008 levels currently.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 17, 2024

Homebuyers have become older and wealthier Young people are having a particularly hard time in the housing market. The median buyer is now 56 years old, up from 49 in 2023. Register today to attend the Housing Economic Summit in Dallas, on Feb. According to a recent NAR survey, homebuyers are older than they used to be.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 22, 2023

The days on market are back to a teenager level in the existing home sales market, which means I can officially say we are back to a savagely unhealthy housing market! Nothing good happens in the housing market when the days on market are at a teenager level or lower.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 8, 2020

Back in April, when the COVID-19 data and unemployment numbers were at their worst, the housing bubble boys had a halfway legitimate 2020 housing market crash thesis. This could have led to a rapid increase in inventory on the market, which would have crashed home prices as demand collapsed. Instead, the U.S. Forbearance.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2023

Can we now say that the housing market ‘s spring selling season is finally underway? Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. months shows how far we are from 2008 housing economics.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 20, 2023

The last two years of soaring mortgage rates and rising home prices have brought the fastest erosion in housing market affordability in modern history, and it’s hurt first-time homebuyers the most. buyer hovers around $2,866, an all-time high according to Redfin. In Newark, buyers need $160,000.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. million, the equilibrium balance between a buyer and seller marketplace that has been here for four decades. Since 2013 I have said that mortgage rates over 5.875% would be problematic to housing.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 25, 2023

The company notified its clients earlier this month that based on the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller US National Home Price NSA Index’s projected decline, the housing market has fallen out of favor with Goldman Sachs. The company is eyeing the San Jose, Austin, Phoenix, and San Diego markets in particular.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 28, 2022

This data line lags the current housing market as it’s a few months old. Since 2014, we’ve not seen the credit housing boom that we saw from 2002-2005. Even today, the MBA purchase application index is below 2008 levels. When it comes to the years 2020-2024, don’t think of a housing boom in sales or credit.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2020

housing market and compare those to where we are today — in the middle of one of the most epic years in our country’s history, due to COVID-19. No doubt about it, the COVID crisis has taken some juice out of the 2020 housing market. The February housing data, pre-COVID, was juicy indeed.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 16, 2023

The weekly data shows some good news for the housing market ! With mortgage rates also falling, I am hopeful that more people will list their homes and buy another, so we can get back to a more functional housing market. But after this week’s report, we should have a low-level base formed for housing to stabilize.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2022

However, the real story of 2022 is that the savagely unhealthy housing market continues as inventory is still lower than last year, sending home prices growth into double digits again. housing market; the 10-year is above 1.94%, something that didn’t happen in 2020 or 2021. From NAR : Total existing-home sales dipped 2.7%

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2023

Did today’s existing home sales report give us a playbook for housing in 2024? I would argue yes, and the housing market today looks a lot like what we saw in late 2022. I give more details in this interview on why I believe the housing market dynamics shifted on Nov. months in 2008. months in Oct.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 1, 2022

However, there are a number of attention-grabbing headlines, which unfortunately only compare today’s housing market to the very recent history of the last two years. It is always good to know where we are with the real estate market, but it is essential to keep all data in historical perspective. . Historically 2.5

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 16, 2022

Homebuilder confidence continued to drop in November, hitting its lowest level since June 2012, with the exception of the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in the spring of 2020, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) report, released Wednesday.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 8, 2022

One of the reasons that I moved into the “team higher mortgage rate” camp is that what I saw in January, February, and March of this year was so unhealthy that I labeled the housing market savagely unhealthy. The years 2020-2024 were always going to be different from 2008-2019. Monthly supply data being at 1.7

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Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. didn’t go into recession until 2008. As you can see in the chart below, there is a big difference between these two different historic housing economic cycles.

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Housing Wire

MAY 5, 2022

This article is part of our housing market update series. At the end of this series, you can join us on May 10 for a Housing Market Update webinar. Demographics still point towards a market with strong demand – the largest cohort of millennials, the largest generation in U.S. The post Has the housing market peaked?

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Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

didn’t go into recession until 2008. Even though the labor market is currently showing signs of getting softer , there is no job-loss recession yet. As you can see in the chart below, there is a big difference between the current housing market and those looking for a repeat of 2008.

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Housing Wire

MAY 2, 2023

The housing market functions differently than other markets because it can be characterized as a heterogeneous, thinly traded, illiquid market. In other words, it’s a diverse market with a wide variety of different homes of varying ages and levels of repair, and sales happen very rarely. The result is fewer sales.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 19, 2023

Buyers early in 2023 had slightly lower rates than now and were optimistic that mortgage rates would go lower still. This “higher for longer” conventional wisdom is working its way through the housing market. This change in buyer expectations is adding to the slowness right now. The supply and demand constraints.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 27, 2022

Through numerous interviews with industry players, HousingWire assessed the rapidly changing housing market to determine who remains vulnerable to the higher-rate environment, and who’s primed to capitalize in the months ahead. Despite the negative effect on builders’ bottom line, such incentives still aren’t luring buyers.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 16, 2022

neighborhood, housing market, Fall, homes, new house sales, forbearance. The Federal Reserve ’s 75 basis point interest rate hike – its largest since 1994 – proves the central bank is laser-focused on slowing inflation, but loan officers and housing economists don’t expect mortgage rates to come down until consumer prices fall.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 26, 2023

The financial and housing markets are still trying to sort out the banking crisis and whether we have seen the last Fed rate hike in this cycle. These events led to lower mortgage rates and increased purchase application data last week, but decreased housing inventory. In a regular market, they would be closer to 5.25%.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 1, 2024

Talk to a real estate agent about expectations for the fall and they’ll likely mention that the housing market will be slow due in part to the election, a belief in the industry that’s become rote. But do these potential buyers have any bearing on overall home sales?

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 17, 2023

bond yields hit their highest level since 2008. According to those analysts, investors in the bond market are reacting to the government issuing debt and expecting the Federal Reserve to increase rates in September amid persistent inflation. . Bond buyers are mindful of this.” ” Mohtashami said that the U.S.

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Housing Wire

MAY 3, 2024

As the spring selling season kicks off, many educated sellers know that buyers are experiencing spring fever and are tired of sitting on the fence watching home prices increase. Serious buyers showed discernment as they know inventory is growing. Difficult inspections have been on the rise over the last few months. With only 1.3

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 22, 2023

The housing market continues to cool amid high mortgage rates , low inventory and rising property insurance rates. bond yields hit their highest level since 2008. Average mortgage rates rose by about a half percentage point in May and June, pricing some buyers out and limiting closed sales in July.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 19, 2022

Homebuilder confidence slid again in September, hitting its lowest level since May 2014 with the exception of the spring of 2020 at the onset of the pandemic, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) report, released Monday.

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Housing Wire

OCTOBER 5, 2023

The real estate market in China, both commercial and residential, have been unwinding over the last few years. in 2008 and 2009. some luxury residential markets that saw an influx of Chinese buyers could be particularly vulnerable. Following a pattern eerily similar to the U.S. In the U.S.,

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 26, 2021

Record low inventory and strong buyer demand once again pushed up the cost of homes in the U.S., Though demand typically cools in the early winter months, CoreLogic deputy chief economist, Selma Happ, said housing once again exceeded expectations. How manufactured homes can help alleviate the affordable housing crisis.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 8, 2022

People’s first reaction was to wonder if this was 2008 all over again. Well, it isn’t 2008, but this type of loan does have risk — and it’s the risk that is traditional among all late economic cycle lending in America when the loan requires low or no downpayment. This is what we do in America.

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Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. The housing market shifted in March of this year. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. Yes, crazy to think, but this is a survey trend data line, and the housing market was in free-fall at that time.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

On a positive note, however, the days on the market are no longer a teenager anymore: that metric grew from 18 days to 21 days. I cheer because the savagely unhealthy housing market theme I talked about back in February of this year was the same premise of the housing reset talking point the Federal Reserve uses.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 4, 2024

Newly released data from the annual profile of home buyers and sellers by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows just how dramatically this trend has manifested since the financial crisis of 2008. While the median age of buyers gradually increased over the course of two decades, the COVID-19 pandemic sped it up.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2020

This growth in demand is consistent with what I have been saying for many years – that if interest rates stayed low, good housing demographics in the years 2020 to 2024 would substantially drive up demand for housing, including new home sales, which will be the only period where we would start a year at 1.5 million a year. It is legit.

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