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Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. Weekly housing inventory The numbers this week are unfortunate: inventory should be growing like it does at this time every year.
Mortgage rates in the 6% range have frozen the housing market, forcing loanofficers to find business outside their wheelhouses. Business is at a “dead stop,” said a retail loanofficer in Michigan. That’s going to be a new market for me Lonnie Glessner, loanofficer at Draper and Kramer Mortgage Corp.
While borrowers can shop online these days and follow an automated experience, it doesn’t equate to working with a seasoned professional loanofficer and learning what to expect first-hand. We know refinance volumes will dry up due to rising rates, borrowers not exiting their homes due to the reduced inventories.
The Federal Reserve (Fed) raised its key federal funds rate for the 10th consecutive time, announcing a 0.25% rate hike Wednesday to 5% to 5.25%, a level they have not reached since 2007. Existing home sales in particular have been paltry in 2023, largely due to low levels of inventory.
The latest weekly survey data from Freddie Mac shows the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage jumped 40 basis points to an average of 6.70% this week, the highest level since 2007. There is more inventory relative to demand, and deals can be found. A year ago at this time, rates averaged 3.01%.
Builders feel more confident in the market, housing inventory data is positive and buyer demand for mortgages has increased — but don’t be fooled. Brown anticipates more consolidation in the industry on the mortgage production side, as “there’s less than one loan being done by a loanofficer per month on average,” he said.
For example, within these firms, there are occupations such as loanofficers, loan interviewers, title-related occupations, and loan counselors that could apply to both mortgage and non-mortgage lending. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Mortgage Bankers Association.
Inventory levels. My comments: The video presentation is a bit “over the top,” but the two guys have been doing these videos for many years, focusing on mortgage brokers and loanofficers. It started in 2007 in Vacaville, near Sacramento, CA. So, what metrics are worth watching? Actual days on market (DOM)….
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