Sacramento Appraisal Blog

OCTOBER 4, 2023

That’s what 2007 had compared to right now. UPCOMING (PUBLIC) SPEAKING GIGS: 10/4/23 KW Sac Metro Big Market Update (register here) 10/6/23 How to Think […] The post 2007 had ten times more housing supply than today first appeared on Sacramento Appraisal Blog | Real Estate Appraiser. Enjoy if you wish.

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Real Estate Sellers Appraisal Marketing 329

Housing Wire

APRIL 23, 2023

Can we now say that the housing market ‘s spring selling season is finally underway? Since 2020, the seasonal bottom for housing inventory has arrived several months later than normal, making it more complicated to track housing inventory data. In 2022, home sales collapsed in a waterfall fashion.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 545

Housing Wire

MAY 18, 2023

Just when I thought days on market were returning to normal, that number for existing homes fell back down to 22 days. If the days on the market are at a teenager level or even lower, it’s never a good sign for the housing market. In 2007, for context, we were a tad above 4 million. Why is this so important to me?

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Mortgage 539

Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. In 2007, when sales were down big, total active listings peaked at over 4 million. We had high inventory levels while the unemployment rate was still excellent in 2007.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 525

Housing Wire

MAY 19, 2022

million , with double-digit home-price growth driving a housing market that is still savagely unhealthy. This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. We are not taking the unhealthy housing market theme off this marketplace.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Realtors 528

Housing Wire

APRIL 9, 2023

The housing market welcomed the news of lower mortgage rates last week after four reports showed that the labor market isn’t as tight as it seems and that the fear of 1970s-entrenched inflation was a lousy narrative. In 2007, when sales were down big, total active listings peaked at over 4 million.

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Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 540

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. Since the summer of 2020, I have believed the housing market could change in terms of cooling down, but it would require the 10-year yield to break over 1.94%. Total inventory levels. NAR: Total Inventory levels 1.22

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Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 544

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

In 2007, when sales were down big, total active listings peaked at over 4 million. We had high inventory levels while the unemployment rate was still excellent in 2007. This proves that the mass supply growth we saw from 2005-2007 was due to credit stress, not because the economy was in a recession; the U.S.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 505

Appraisal Buzz

JULY 26, 2024

According to the opinions of LendingTree staff writer Jacob Channel, with steep housing costs, some Americans may recall the dramatic price surges of the early to mid-2000s, which preceded the Great Recession of 2007-2009. Housing Market Stability: Foreclosure Trends first appeared on The MortgagePoint. The post U.S.

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Housing Market Marketing Home Value Mortgage 448

Housing Wire

JUNE 18, 2023

This dynamic changed the housing market from one where home sales were crashing to one that is now stabilized. As you can see in the chart below, the collapse of the purchase application data has stalled out, and if this didn’t happen, we would be having a different conversation about the housing market today.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 505

Housing Wire

JANUARY 16, 2023

The weekly data shows some good news for the housing market ! With mortgage rates also falling, I am hopeful that more people will list their homes and buy another, so we can get back to a more functional housing market. But after this week’s report, we should have a low-level base formed for housing to stabilize.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 534

Housing Wire

JANUARY 25, 2023

This article is part of our 2022 – 2023 Housing Market Update series. After the series wraps, join us on February 6 for the HW+ Virtual 2023 Housing Market Update. in December 2022, its highest level since 2007 and its fastest rise in more than 40 years. We can also expect low housing demand, which favors buyers.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 459

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2023

Did today’s existing home sales report give us a playbook for housing in 2024? I would argue yes, and the housing market today looks a lot like what we saw in late 2022. I give more details in this interview on why I believe the housing market dynamics shifted on Nov. Unsold inventory sits at a 3.5-month

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Realtors 482

Housing Wire

APRIL 3, 2023

Last week was relatively calm for the housing market after the fiasco of the banking crisis. Housing demand grew and inventory levels fell again while mortgage rates rose. For example, over the last few months, when monthly sales were trending at 2007 levels, total active listings peaked at over 4 million.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 505

Housing Wire

MAY 2, 2023

The housing market functions differently than other markets because it can be characterized as a heterogeneous, thinly traded, illiquid market. In other words, it’s a diverse market with a wide variety of different homes of varying ages and levels of repair, and sales happen very rarely. The result is fewer sales.

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Housing Market Marketing Sellers Inventory 418

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

That’s the largest year over year existing home sales decrease since 2007. The impact is greater in expensive areas of the country and in markets that witnessed significant home price gains in recent years.”. Both a pullback in demand and limited supply remain vexing problems for the housing market. year over year.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory New Listings 448

Housing Wire

JANUARY 18, 2023

mortgage insurance market in 2023 to deteriorate. The sector outlook reflects expectations for a slowing economy in 2023, with a modest increase in unemployment and potential pricing corrections in the housing market. Fitch Ratings also expects the outlook for the U.S.

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Housing Market Marketing Insurance Mortgage 476

Appraisal Buzz

JULY 5, 2024

Cross-Sector Housing Monitor Webinar ” at 10:00 a.m. While the nation’s housing market remains tight, sales are tracking well below housing demand, and rental and homeowner vacancy rates are plummeting to multi-decade lows. economics, including the labor market, consumer spending, inflation, demographics, and many more.

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Housing Market Marketing Finance Development 361

Housing Wire

JUNE 25, 2023

More importantly, it showed that the days on market dropped back to the teenager level, which means we are once again in a savagely unhealthy housing market. Nothing good is happening in housing when days on market are so low. million The peak in 2007 was a bit over 4 million Currently we’re at 1.08

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 435

Housing Wire

APRIL 8, 2022

One of the reasons that I moved into the “team higher mortgage rate” camp is that what I saw in January, February, and March of this year was so unhealthy that I labeled the housing market savagely unhealthy. million — once that happens, I can take the unhealthy label off the housing market.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Lending 418

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 3, 2021

Economists and housing experts say mortgage lending standards will likely loosen in 2021, despite the increased risk of delinquencies ahead. housing market. Such a scenario illustrates the growing disparities in the U.S.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 18, 2021

The housing market is no stranger to supply constraints. But according to Doug Duncan, chief economist at Fannie Mae , it’s not going to be just one of these factors that brings the market back to some semblance of normalcy. It’s going to take all of them. “It doesn’t just reappear,” Duncan said.

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Supply Chain Housing Market Marketing Inventory 447

Housing Wire

MAY 14, 2021

Not to mention, during the 2007 housing market crash, some had just bought their first homes and unfortunately, lost their homes during the crash. It took a while for the housing market to bounce back. But that’s not the only reason this generation is shopping for their dream home now.

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Housing Market Marketing Buyers Real Estate 544

Housing Wire

MAY 31, 2024

Large institutional investors typically emerged following a raft of defaults and foreclosures stemming from the 2007-08 financial crisis , putting inventory on the market from 2007-09. They don’t have that kind of capital,” he said, adding that Blackstone Group owns roughly 0.05% of single-family homes in the U.S.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 10, 2022

It goes to show what the failure to build enough homes from 2006 to the present combined with ultra-low, unrealistic mortgage rates and massive amounts of fiscal stimulus can do to the housing market. This is something that housing industry leaders should be thinking about — carefully. The history of housing.

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Mortgage Housing Market Lending Finance 493

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 19, 2023

for the first time since 2007, according to one index. On Tuesday, the builder confidence fell to 40, its lowest point since January 2023, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). Still, inventory remains a huge problem for the housing market.

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Mortgage Housing Market Inventory Construction 493

Housing Wire

APRIL 18, 2024

This is a byproduct of the qualified mortgage rule of 2010, which has been a game-changer not only for the housing market but for the overall U.S. million active listings per the last report, we have 526,000 per our last Housing Market Tracker article. million, and in 2007, it peaked at 4 million. million in March.

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Inventory Housing Market New Listings Marketing 505

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2023

However, with active listings now near all-time lows, the builders’ new homes still have more value in the housing market than what we saw in previous decades. Back in 2007 — after existing home sales got as low as we have seen in the recent data as the chart below shows — total active listings were above 4 million.

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Inventory Housing Market Construction Marketing 545

Housing Wire

MAY 8, 2024

million, currently at 1,110,000 As you can see above, inventory grew at a healthy clip in previous decades and then had a parabolic run higher in 2006 and 2007 when active inventory reached 4 million. On top of more legitimate buyers, we fixed the credit markets, meaning housing credit looks fantastic.

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Inventory Law New Listings Sellers 518

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 21, 2023

As we can see in the chart below, even with the biggest home sales crash in history for one year, inventory data has yet to return to the peaks we saw in 2007. But even with the biggest home sales crash ever, prices are still at all-time highs. Getting back to the four-decade average between 2-2.5 million has been a struggle.

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Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 523

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2022

On Wednesday, existing home sales collapsed near the lows we saw during COVID-19 and back in 2007 when the housing bubble burst. In addition, this is the fourth straight month of inventory declining, while days on the market are growingl! Confused by this? I hear you; let’s dive deeper into today’s report.

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Inventory New Listings Housing Market Sellers 531

Housing Wire

MARCH 31, 2022

The online reaction was immediate — housing must be about to crash. That’s not to say that the data points the Fed used are incorrect — in fact, we are in a savagely unhealthy housing market , but it’s not a bubble. First, because there is no speculative debt demand going on today, there can’t be a housing bubble.

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Housing Market Inventory Lending Marketing 532

Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. The housing market shifted in March of this year. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. Yes, crazy to think, but this is a survey trend data line, and the housing market was in free-fall at that time.

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Inventory Housing Market Construction Marketing 526

Housing Wire

AUGUST 22, 2024

I don’t see anything in our Housing Market Tracker data that would warrant any big beats in future home sales prints. The housing bubble peaked in 2007 at 4 million so with our current level at 1.33 When people were expecting a negative print, they got a positive one. If inventory can trend between 1.52-1.93

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Investors 493

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 16, 2023

They have less competition as they are working from low sales levels in today’s housing market. The truth is that if mortgage rates fell below 5.875% and kept going lower, everyone’s housing predictions would need to be revised this year because the builders can sell their homes with lower mortgage rates.

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Construction Housing Market Inventory Marketing 526

Housing Wire

MARCH 21, 2024

This is why we created the housing market tracker articles to keep everyone versed in forward-looking demand and the forward-looking demand was getting better as mortgage rates fell from 8% to below 7%. In 2007, they were 4 million. What I love about this data is that the days on the market are over 30 days.

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Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Marketing 508

Housing Wire

JULY 26, 2022

This data line confirms what we all know to be the case: The housing market, at least as it relates to construction, is in a recession. Since the summer of 2020, I have genuinely believed the housing market could change once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%. The average sales price was $456,800.

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