Housing Wire

DECEMBER 8, 2021

2 million , we could be at risk of housing inventory falling to such low levels that I would have to categorize this housing market as unhealthy. We can see that inventory falling to such low levels has created unhealthy home-price growth in both 2020 and 2021. Inventory fades in the fall and winter and picks up in summer and spring.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 525

Housing Wire

JANUARY 20, 2023

On Friday NAR reported that total housing inventory levels broke under 1 million in December, dropping to 970,00 units for a population of 330 million people. million in January down to about 4 million in December, We now have total inventory levels near all-time lows again. Unsold inventory sits at a 2.9-month months in Nov.

Inventory 541

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Sellers 541

Housing Wire

APRIL 30, 2023

The spring housing market music is playing, and purchase application data and active listing inventory rose together last week. The fear of not having an increase in inventory this spring should be put to rest. The other focus should be where mortgage rates go; only a little happened last week.

Inventory 525

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 525

Housing Wire

APRIL 5, 2021

Prices are up sharply as housing inventory continues to plateau , leaving 40% fewer homes on the market compared to last year, according to a report prepared by Black Knight. Year-over-year, new listing volumes were down 16% in January and 21% in February — amounting to a 125,000 deficit in inventory compared to the same time in 2020.

Inventory 511

Inventory Buyers New Listings Mortgage 511

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2023

months’ worth of housing inventory in the U.S. NAR: Total housing inventory registered at the end of March was 980,000 units, up 1.0% Unsold inventory sits at a 2.6-month Total housing inventory, while up year over year, is still near all-time lows, and monthly supply is also up year over year. We only have 2.6

Inventory 531

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 531

Housing Wire

JUNE 21, 2024

Both existing housing inventory and home prices have been rising together year over year, which might seem odd at first glance since existing home sales are trending near all-time lows. When you connect the dots, this is a short and simple answer to why housing inventory and home prices are both rising. Sales descended 2.8%

Inventory 482

Inventory Housing Market New Listings Contracts 482

Housing Wire

MAY 7, 2023

Just when I thought it was safe to say we were getting more traditional spring housing inventory , we hit a snag last week, as active inventory and new listings declined. We had a lot of drama over the week between Federal Reserve meetings and banking stress, and mortgage rates and purchase applications both fell.

Inventory 505

Inventory Housing Market Marketing New Listings 505

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2023

If there’s one sector of the economy that benefits from the very low levels of total housing inventory , it’s the homebuilders , but for a reason you might not think. If national housing inventory were back to normal, we would have 2 to 2.5 Rates did spike from 5.99% to 7.10% recently , impacting the data coming up.

Inventory 545

Inventory Housing Market Construction Marketing 545

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 8, 2021

home prices are quickly shifting the affordability calculus for prospective homebuyers in 2021 — even though mortgage rates have remained near record lows. Despite average 30-year mortgage rates that have remained below 3% for most of 2021, the rapid home price increases are eroding affordability for average wage earners. Among 75 U.S.

Renovations 543

Renovations Inventory Marketing Property Taxes 543

Housing Wire

MARCH 29, 2022

Given the current housing inventory crisis, it might surprise people to realize this: we built too many homes during the housing bubble years. Yes, but this is where my work is much different from other housing economists and why we need to think of inventory in a new, modern 21st-century mindset. Wait, what?

Inventory 435

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Modernization 435

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 18, 2022

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported today on two trends in existing home sales that we have seen for many months now: sales are declining while total inventory data has fallen directly for the three straight months. As mortgage rates rose more and more, the October to January data was going to show big negative prints.

Inventory 493

Inventory Marketing Housing Market New Listings 493

Appraisal Buzz

MAY 25, 2021

Lack of inventory coupled with pent-up demand for homes – plus low mortgage rates – has resulted in home price appreciation surging to new historical highs. home prices continued to surge in March, rising 1.5% on an adjusted basis compared with February and jumping a whopping 13.2%

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Inventory Appraisal Mortgage 300

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Since the weaker CPI data was released in November, bond yields and mortgage rates have been heading lower. The question then was: What would lower mortgage rates do to this data? However, mortgage rates have fallen more than 1% since the recent highs, so it’s time to look at the data to explain how to interpret it.

Housing Market 544

Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 544

Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2022

As recession talk becomes more prevalent, some people are concerned that mortgage credit lending will get much tighter. One of the biggest reasons home sales crashed from their peak in 2005 was that the credit available to facilitate that boom in lending simply collapsed. The short (and long) answer is no, not a chance. Why is this?

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Lending Mortgage Business Inventory 501

Housing Wire

JUNE 2, 2022

I always try to focus people on the total inventory data until we get inventory back into a range of 1.52-1.93 HousingWire: To add to that, since housing is in an inventory shortage, the market has changed, so the good news is inventory is growing. What levels should we be hoping for? Then this happened. Ghost Supply 2.2

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Training Inventory Housing Market Real Estate Agent 459

Housing Wire

AUGUST 16, 2022

Tuesday’s housing starts report clearly shows that homebuilders are going to be done with single-family construction until mortgage rates fall. Currently, we are in a much different housing recession than what we had from 2005-2011. The credit cycle looks much different now than the build-up from 2002-2005.

Mortgage 533

Mortgage Construction Inventory Buyers 533

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 29, 2022

The housing sector — especially real estate and mortgage — has seen significant layoffs , while the general economy will create more than 4 million jobs in 2022. Then we had the biggest mortgage rate shock in recent history and yet even with that, we will have over 5 million total home sales this year. Production falls. Home sales.

Housing Market 546

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 546

Housing Wire

AUGUST 19, 2021

The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage declined slightly to 2.86% for the week ending in August 19, according to mortgage rates data released Thursday by Freddie Mac ‘s PMMS. The week prior, mortgage rates rose to 2.87% , after six consecutive weeks of mortgage rate declines. Last week, mortgage applications decreased 3.9%

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Mortgage Supply Chain Inventory Finance 516

Housing Wire

MARCH 31, 2021

Mortgage applications decreased for the fourth straight week – this time down 2.2%, according to the latest report from the Mortgage Bankers Association. Record-low inventory is pushing home-price growth at double the rate from a year ago, and even above the 10% growth rates seen in 2005,” Kan said. the week prior.

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Mortgage Contracts Inventory Lending 459

Housing Wire

JULY 1, 2021

The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage fell four basis points from the week prior to 2.98%, according to data released Thursday by Freddie Mac ‘s PMMS. Within the past almost three months, mortgage rates have only peaked above 3% one time. More recently, however, mortgage applications dipped 6.9%

Mortgage 511

Mortgage Housing Market Realtors Inventory 511

Housing Wire

MARCH 21, 2023

9, when mortgage rates started to fall from 7.37% to 5.99%. In 2022, it was all about affordability as mortgage rates had a historical rise. Even though mortgage rates were falling in November and December, positive purchase application data takes 30-90 days to hit the sales data. Look at the Inventory data below.

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Mortgage Housing Market Inventory Law 511

Appraisal Buzz

MARCH 12, 2025

But its exacerbated by the rapid rise in mortgage rates over the last three years. Many California homeowners are locked in not just by low property taxes, but by low mortgage rates. Mortgage rates hovered between 3% and 5% from 2010 to the start of 2022, dropping to a record low of under 3% at the height of the pandemic moving frenzy.

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Property Taxes Inventory Mortgage Law 311

Housing Wire

APRIL 1, 2021

mortgage rate remained essentially unchanged last week, rising by just one basis point to 3.18%, according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Overall, homebuyer demand slipped from 25% above pre-COVID levels at the start of the year, when mortgage rates hit record lows, to 8% above pre-COVID levels recently. “We

Mortgage 448

Mortgage Inventory Housing Market Marketing 448

Housing Wire

APRIL 13, 2022

Seasonal inventory is about to rise, so let’s hope for the best. However, the demand curve of what we have in housing too doesn’t resemble the speculation demand curve of what we saw from 2002-to 2005. Housing peaked in 2005 and then declined for many years. Have more questions for Logan?

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Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 476

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. million line in the sand has been this: Home prices grow above that 23% level: check Mortgage rates spike higher: check.

Mortgage 505

Mortgage Inventory Housing Market Construction 505

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 31, 2022

One of the unsung heroes of the most prolonged economic and job expansion ever recorded in history was the passing of the 2005 Bankruptcy Reform Act and the 2010 qualified mortgage rule under Dodd-Frank. As we can see below, the bankruptcy levels were extremely high before the bankruptcy law was passed in 2005.

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Law Inventory Lending Mortgage 523

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 19, 2022

As someone concerned about the housing inflation story since inventory channels broke to all-time lows in 2020, I am frustrated by this housing completion data. All housing inventory data points to the second factor. The new home sales market gets hit harder by higher mortgage rates than the existing home market.

Mortgage 533

Mortgage Construction Inventory Housing Market 533

Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2022

We’ve all been wondering what 5% plus mortgage rates would do to the hot housing market, and now we’ve got that and a bag of chips. As a result, I’ve been rooting for mortgage rates to rise to create a balancing impact on this housing market. Inventory is still showing negative year-over-year data.

Housing Market 511

Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 511

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

But I need to explain why this level has more in common with 2014 housing data than the credit stress markets of 2005-2008, and why you should care. Inventory levels broke to all-time lows and thus created massive housing inflation quickly, which broke my model. Purchase application data is now below 2008 levels!

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New Listings Inventory Housing Market Sellers 508

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 2, 2020

The data, from Black Knight’s “Mortgage Monitor” report , shows that rate lock activity in the first half of October was up 4% from September, with purchase locks up 6% and refinance locks up 3%. million home owners still meet broad-based underwriting criteria to shave about 75 bps off their mortgage through a refinancing.

Mortgage 497

Mortgage Lending Inventory Marketing 497

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 21, 2022

In addition, this is the fourth straight month of inventory declining, while days on the market are growingl! “The principal factor was the rapid increase in mortgage rates, which hurt housing affordability and reduced incentives for homeowners to list their homes. Plus, available housing inventory remains near historic lows.”

Inventory 531

Inventory New Listings Housing Market Sellers 531

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 28, 2020

No, this is not a new home sales housing bubble as we are far from total new home sales being where they were in 2005. Compare today’s housing market with that in 2018, when mortgage rates were heading toward 5% and monthly supply went above 6.5 However, we did have a bump on the road getting here.

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Inventory Buyers Housing Market Mortgage 532

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 12, 2020

Mortgage demand, too, is at an 11-year high. Housing data started to soften in 2005 after an overheated market. Here is another precedent: Back in 2012, our housing bear buddies kept insisting that the housing market had 4 million to 5 million homes in what they called shadow inventory. And third — mortgage rates are very low.

Inventory 545

Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 545

Housing Wire

JUNE 28, 2022

Imagine if mortgage rates didn’t rise this year. We are still showing double-digit home-price growth trends in the recent data as it takes time for higher mortgage rates to really increase supply back to normal levels. Since 2014, we’ve not seen the credit housing boom that we saw from 2002-2005.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Investors 482

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 19, 2020

. “With news that a COVID-19 vaccine will soon be available, and with mortgage rates projected to hover around 3% in 2021, I expect the market’s growth to continue into 2021.” At the end of October, housing inventory totaled 1.42 Housing inventory is now at a record low of 2.5 million units, down 2.7%

Inventory 545

Inventory Realtors Housing Market Marketing 545

Housing Wire

MAY 18, 2023

We don’t have a massive credit boom as purchase application data is at historical lows; we haven’t had the same run-up in credit as we saw from 2002-2005. If we had a massive credit boom-to-bust, inventory would have skyrocketed in 2022. NAR Total Inventory Data going back to 1982. million, up from 1.03 million last year.

Housing Market 539

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Mortgage 539

Housing Wire

MARCH 31, 2022

.” The notion that educated homeowners with positive cash flow — who aren’t showing any stress in making their low payments thanks to historically low mortgage rates — would sell at 50%, 60% to 70% off current values and go back to renting, doesn’t seem realistic. Our evidence points to abnormal U.S.

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Housing Market Inventory Lending Marketing 532