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Comparing this housing market recession to 2008

Housing Wire

As we close out 2022, it’s time to reflect on a historic year for the housing market, which was even crazier than the COVID-19 year of 2020. A few months ago, I was asked to go on CNBC and talk about why I call this a housing recession and why this year reminds me a lot of 2018, but much worse on the four items above.

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This is not 2008 all over again for the housing market

Housing Wire

When you hear people say that the current housing market is like 2008 all over again, you may want to remind them of the huge differences between this market and that one. The previous economic expansion, from 2010-2019, wasn’t a housing bubble. Because of this I am calling this the unhealthiest housing market post-2010.

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Home prices haven’t risen this fast since 2005

Housing Wire

The March gain is also the largest since December 2005 and is one of the largest in the index’s 30-year history, said Craig Lazzara, managing director and global head of index investment strategy at S&P DJI. ” The post Home prices haven’t risen this fast since 2005 appeared first on HousingWire. .

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Is the housing market really 20% overbuilt?

Housing Wire

Nevertheless, some supposedly erudite thinkers on the housing market are saying this, so I thought I should investigate. If the housing market was in the grips of some mass hysteria of irrational purchasing, we would expect to see certain hallmarks in the data. The post Is the housing market really 20% overbuilt?

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The housing market recession continues, despite starts data

Housing Wire

The June housing starts data beat estimates with positive revisions, however, this doesn’t change the housing market recession call that I made last month. We never saw the credit sales boom as we did from 2002-2005, so the builders themselves are in a better position to manage their future.

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Is the savagely unhealthy housing market back?

Housing Wire

Just when I thought days on market were returning to normal, that number for existing homes fell back down to 22 days. If the days on the market are at a teenager level or even lower, it’s never a good sign for the housing market. housing market inventory channels have changed due to how the U.S.

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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

As you can see from the chart above, the last several years have not had the FOMO (fear of missing out) housing credit boom we saw from 2002-2005. What I mean by a credit bust is that after the housing bubble burst in 2005 into 2006, we saw a massive increase in supply. Mortgage rates went from a low of 2.5%