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Home prices haven’t risen this fast since 2005

Housing Wire

The March gain is also the largest since December 2005 and is one of the largest in the index’s 30-year history, said Craig Lazzara, managing director and global head of index investment strategy at S&P DJI. This demand may represent buyers who accelerated purchases that would have happened anyway over the next several years.

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How will rising rates affect new home construction?

Housing Wire

Census Bureau released their construction report for February, showing a positive trend in housing construction data with a lovely print in housing permits at 1,859,000 and housing starts at 1,769,000. So far, housing construction has done well during 2020-2022 considering the economic drama. Today, the U.S.

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Home prices are still rising, but relief for buyers is coming

Housing Wire

But relief for buyers could be coming in the next 12 months. gain by this time next year, as ongoing affordability challenges deter potential buyers — as well as an uptick in new for sale listings. May’s 8% increase was the highest jump for that month since 2005, according to NAR. Home prices increased 2.3% ” The 17.2%

Buyers 514
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Homebuilders are done until mortgage rates fall

Housing Wire

Tuesday’s housing starts report clearly shows that homebuilders are going to be done with single-family construction until mortgage rates fall. If it wasn’t for solid rental demand boosting multifamily construction this year — 18% year to date —this data line would have looked much worse. Why do I call it a housing recession?

Mortgage 533
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The housing market recession continues, despite starts data

Housing Wire

From the National Association of Home Builders : Looking at the housing starts report, the numbers came in slightly better than anticipated, driven by multifamily construction. Still, it’s backward-looking and the growth in multifamily construction, which we desperately need to cool down rental inflation, has recently been positive.

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Purchase apps are at 2009 level: where’s the inventory?

Housing Wire

That’s not the case now because we have’t had a credit boom post-2010 as we did from 2002 to 2005. However, the spike in inventory that we saw from 2006 to 2011 can be attributed to the massive credit bubble we had from 2002 to 2005. Credit stress was evident from 2005 to 2008. What is going on here?

Inventory 526
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Comparing this housing market recession to 2008

Housing Wire

The housing market of 2002-2005 had four years of sales growth facilitated by credit. As we can see below, the purchase application data had four years of growth, peaking in 2005 and then collapsing. However, what isn’t identical is that we have not had a massive sales boom like we saw from 2002-2005. million in 2005.