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On Friday NAR reported that total housing inventory levels broke under 1 million in December, dropping to 970,00 units for a population of 330 million people. million in January down to about 4 million in December, We now have total inventory levels near all-time lows again. During that period, we saw newlisting data decline.
Both existing housing inventory and home prices have been rising together year over year, which might seem odd at first glance since existing home sales are trending near all-time lows. Let’s keep it simple: total active listings are still below 2019 levels nationally, and the days on market are under 30 days today.
Inventory levels broke to all-time lows and thus created massive housing inflation quickly, which broke my model. This time around, we have not seen the kind of housing credit boom that we did from 2002-2005. Newlisting data is down 5% year to date, as you can imagine. nominal per year at most.
Inventory, which has been falling for years, broke to all-time lows in 2020. We didn’t have a seasonal push in inventory in 2020, and things worsened in 2021. Of course, this has brought back some inventory, as demand weakness always creates inventory through accumulation. million active listings, but at just 1.28
While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. From the index : I know it seems strange, but existing home sales are falling, and the monthly supply of new homes is at 10.9 Housing inventory issue with no booming demand.
As you can see from the chart above, the last several years have not had the FOMO (fear of missing out) housing credit boom we saw from 2002-2005. Since they were distressed forced sellers, inventory skyrocketed in 2006 and stayed very elevated in 2007 and 2008. Total inventory levels. NAR: Total Inventory levels 1.22
Existing home sales have more legs to go lower, especially now that newlisting data is falling. A traditional primary resident seller is also a buyer, which means if they don’t list, they’re not just taking a potential home to be bought off the table — they’re taking a future sale off the books as well. million to 1.28
The real estate landscape witnessed significant developments in 2023, as the New Hampshire market saw a historic low in listings. This scarcity in inventory exerted upward pressure on prices, although it coincided with a 19% decline in sales. Lowest number homes listed in recorded history, decreased by 15.1%
In 2002, when Dara Alperen Cipollone purchased her first home in East Boston, her real estate agent suggested she would be a great fit for residential sales. A: The obstacles Millennial real estate buyers face for owning a home in the Boston market come down to low inventory. Millennials who are looking for a home research everything.
Among all home types in King, newlistings have fallen 26% in the past month and existing homes for sale at the start of November were down 8.1% Sure, the increases in inventory are impressive – up 123% for all homes in the county from 2021 to today and up a whopping 359% on the Eastside – but that should not surprise anyone.
We are now seeing “7s” in front of some rates to new mortgage consumers – a figure not seen since April 2002 – causing applications for new loans to hit a 25-year low this month. ( Counties in and near Chicago and New York City were seen as the most vulnerable to today’s economic headwinds. months’ inventory.
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