Housing Wire

AUGUST 9, 2023

Mortgage applications fell for the third consecutive week as the 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to its highest level since November 2022 at 7.09%. For the week that ended August 4, mortgage applications fell 3.1% from the prior week , according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association. The downgrading of the U.S.

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Mortgage Contracts Government Inventory 335

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Since the weaker CPI data was released in November, bond yields and mortgage rates have been heading lower. The question then was: What would lower mortgage rates do to this data? However, mortgage rates have fallen more than 1% since the recent highs, so it’s time to look at the data to explain how to interpret it.

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Housing Market Mortgage Marketing Inventory 543

Housing Wire

AUGUST 19, 2021

The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage declined slightly to 2.86% for the week ending in August 19, according to mortgage rates data released Thursday by Freddie Mac ‘s PMMS. The week prior, mortgage rates rose to 2.87% , after six consecutive weeks of mortgage rate declines. Last week, mortgage applications decreased 3.9%

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Mortgage Supply Chain Inventory Finance 516

Housing Wire

APRIL 13, 2022

Seasonal inventory is about to rise, so let’s hope for the best. However, the demand curve of what we have in housing too doesn’t resemble the speculation demand curve of what we saw from 2002-to 2005. Even today, we aren’t even at 2002 levels in the MBA index. Have more questions for Logan?

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Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 456

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 26, 2023

Kyle Joseph, a specialty finance equity research analyst at Jefferies , believes that the worst of the current mortgage cycle may be behind us, a sentiment shared by most analysts covering this industry. Mortgage rates will moderate down to about 6% to 6.25%.” ” Kornfeld expects mortgage originations to range from $1.8

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Mortgage Inventory Marketing Finance 513

Housing Wire

AUGUST 16, 2022

Tuesday’s housing starts report clearly shows that homebuilders are going to be done with single-family construction until mortgage rates fall. The credit cycle looks much different now than the build-up from 2002-2005. In the past, builders benefitted when mortgage rates fell toward 4% and below.

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Mortgage Construction Inventory Buyers 533

Housing Wire

JUNE 27, 2024

Dominion Financial Services , a Baltimore -based private lender with products tailored to real estate investors , has launched a third-party origination program for mortgage brokers, according to an announcement on Thursday. In March, Attom reported that yields for single-family rental properties were set to rise in 2024.

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Investing Investors Real Estate Inventory 357

Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. million line in the sand has been this: Home prices grow above that 23% level: check Mortgage rates spike higher: check.

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Mortgage Inventory Housing Market Construction 483

Housing Wire

APRIL 15, 2022

We’ve all been wondering what 5% plus mortgage rates would do to the hot housing market, and now we’ve got that and a bag of chips. As a result, I’ve been rooting for mortgage rates to rise to create a balancing impact on this housing market. Inventory is still showing negative year-over-year data.

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Housing Market Marketing Mortgage Inventory 511

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 4, 2024

Elevated mortgage rates, sky-high home prices, tight credit and stagnant wages have all contributed to homebuyers getting older. First-time buyers face high home prices, high mortgage interest rates and limited inventory, making them a decade older with significantly higher incomes than previous generations of buyers.

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Real Estate Agent Buyers Sellers Realtors 342

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 26, 2023

. “This is about the same rate of price growth that occurred during the 2002 through 2006 period when subprime lending drove exuberant housing demand. “But that is where the similarities end. Mortgage holders are well-qualified and subprime loans are rare. ”

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Inventory Housing Market Lending Buyers 475

Housing Wire

MAY 17, 2024

since 2002. In July 2023, HousingWire reported that the company acquired Truland Homes , the largest private homebuilder along the Gulf Coast, adding approximately 263 lots, 155 homes in inventory and 55 homes in the sales order backlog. At the end of March, the company had 45,000 homes in inventory. As of March 31, 2024 , D.R.

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Inventory Development Real Estate Insurance 404

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 29, 2022

The housing sector — especially real estate and mortgage — has seen significant layoffs , while the general economy will create more than 4 million jobs in 2022. Then we had the biggest mortgage rate shock in recent history and yet even with that, we will have over 5 million total home sales this year. Production falls. Home sales.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 545

Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2022

As recession talk becomes more prevalent, some people are concerned that mortgage credit lending will get much tighter. When people say credit will get so tight that we are headed back to 2008 levels of lending, they’re telling me they’ve never read the MBA’s mortgage credit availability index, not even one time.

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Lending Mortgage Business Inventory 501

Housing Wire

MARCH 31, 2022

We aren’t anywhere close to the housing bubble dynamics we had from 2002 to 2008; that environment is simply impossible to replicate. Especially in a year when inventory has crashed to all-time lows and demand for those houses is still so high. This got smashed in two years, and inventory levels broke to all-time lows this year.

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Housing Market Inventory Lending Marketing 529

Housing Wire

JUNE 28, 2022

Imagine if mortgage rates didn’t rise this year. We are still showing double-digit home-price growth trends in the recent data as it takes time for higher mortgage rates to really increase supply back to normal levels. Since 2014, we’ve not seen the credit housing boom that we saw from 2002-2005.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Investors 482

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 11, 2022

Inventory, which has been falling for years, broke to all-time lows in 2020. We didn’t have a seasonal push in inventory in 2020, and things worsened in 2021. To top it all off, we started 2022 at all-time lows, forcing bidding action everywhere until mortgage rates rose. to over 7% in a very short period of time.

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Sellers Inventory Housing Market New Listings 514

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 26, 2023

New home sales missed estimates today but had three months of positive revisions, which continues the story of the builders managing the higher mortgage rate environment. However, higher mortgage rates make it harder and harder to pull some of those deals off. The question is, what happens in the future with higher mortgage rates?

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Inventory Construction Housing Market Marketing 481

Housing Wire

MAY 24, 2022

A few months ago, I wrote that the new home sales sector is at risk because of rising mortgage rates. As you can see, sales levels were never elevated like what we saw from 2002-2005. This housing cycle is and will always be based on real demand, versus the credit boom we saw from 2002 to 2005. Slow and steady wins the race.

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Housing Market Inventory Construction Marketing 418

Housing Wire

MARCH 18, 2022

Inventory has broken to all-time lows, but it doesn’t look like the year-over-year data will be positive at all this year unless demand softens up. You can see why I have been on team higher mortgage rates for some time now because we don’t have any other way to get off this madness. NAR Research : Unsold inventory sits at a 1.7-month

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Sellers 542

Housing Wire

MAY 18, 2023

We don’t have a massive credit boom as purchase application data is at historical lows; we haven’t had the same run-up in credit as we saw from 2002-2005. If we had a massive credit boom-to-bust, inventory would have skyrocketed in 2022. NAR Total Inventory Data going back to 1982. million, up from 1.03 million last year.

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Housing Market Marketing Inventory Mortgage 536

Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2022

Looking at the housing market in the years 2020-2024, one risk i identified early on was that home prices could accelerate more in this period than we saw in the previous expansion if inventory channels broke to all-time lows. This problem is much different than the housing credit bubble of 2002-2005.

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Inventory Housing Market Mortgage Construction 540

Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2022

Even though this was a beat of estimates, the sales decline trend due to higher mortgage rates and home prices continues. The savagely unhealthy housing market theme of mine is running in full force now as we have gotten no relief on home prices and now have a mega jump in mortgage rates. . I am a big fan of inventory to 2019 levels.

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Inventory Housing Market New Listings Mortgage 479

Housing Wire

AUGUST 30, 2022

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. Housing inventory issue with no booming demand. However, we haven’t had a credit sales boom like the one we saw from 2002-2005. million listings.

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Inventory New Listings Law Housing Market 397

Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

Inventory levels broke to all-time lows and thus created massive housing inflation quickly, which broke my model. In the summer of 2020, I talked about how the housing market would change, but it needed the 10-year yield to break over 1.94%, which roughly means 4% plus mortgage rates. nominal per year at most.

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New Listings Inventory Housing Market Sellers 500

Housing Wire

APRIL 8, 2022

Home prices are skyrocketing, housing inventory is at all-time lows and homebuyers have to contend with multiple bids. One of the reasons that I moved into the “team higher mortgage rate” camp is that what I saw in January, February, and March of this year was so unhealthy that I labeled the housing market savagely unhealthy.

Housing Market 418

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Lending 418

Housing Wire

MAY 19, 2022

However, this year has seen one big game-changer: the 10-year yield finally cracked over 1.94%, which drove mortgage rates over 4%. This is something that I said would change the tone of housing, and we are seeing that result this year as sales decline and inventory picks up. Inventory is always seasonal. million and 1.93

Housing Market 526

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Realtors 526

Housing Wire

APRIL 20, 2022

However, the real story of 2022 is that the savagely unhealthy housing market continues as inventory is still lower than last year, sending home prices growth into double digits again. Housing demand has been stable for the past few years; we have never had a credit boom in demand since 2002-2005. Unsold inventory sits at a 2.0-month

Housing Market 504

Housing Market Marketing Inventory Mortgage 504

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 12, 2020

Mortgage demand, too, is at an 11-year high. Here is another precedent: Back in 2012, our housing bear buddies kept insisting that the housing market had 4 million to 5 million homes in what they called shadow inventory. Shadow inventory refers to homes in foreclosure that banks are holding off the market.

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Inventory Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 545

Housing Wire

JULY 6, 2023

The purchase deal includes Truland’s homebuilding assets, which consist of approximately 263 lots, 155 homes in inventory, and 55 homes in the sales order backlog. Horton has been the largest homebuilder by volume in the United States since 2002. “We are excited for the Truland team to join the D.R.

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Contracts Development Insurance Construction 369

Housing Wire

JUNE 24, 2022

As you can see below, new home sales are still below the 2000 recession level, and we just had a significant spike in mortgage rates too. These monthly reports can be very wild, and I anticipate big swings in the reports until things calm down with mortgage rates. Census: For Sale Inventory and Months’ Supply The seasonally?adjusted

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Inventory Construction Marketing Mortgage 480

Housing Wire

JULY 26, 2022

They also learned their lesson quickly in 2018 as mortgage rates at 5% were too high for construction growth.” ” Mortgage rates have risen, and the builders have many homes under construction, so they’re going to stall things until they know they can sell their homes. In response, they stalled construction for 30 months.

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Construction Housing Market Inventory Marketing 514

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2022

The bigger story here is that if we want to see mortgage rates fall, we need more rental units, and right now we have a massive backlog of 2-unit homes under construction — over 900,000. Traditionally, housing starts, permits, and completions would move together, like what we saw in 2002-2005.

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Housing Market Marketing Construction Supply Chain 441

Housing Wire

OCTOBER 31, 2022

One of the unsung heroes of the most prolonged economic and job expansion ever recorded in history was the passing of the 2005 Bankruptcy Reform Act and the 2010 qualified mortgage rule under Dodd-Frank. Total inventory in America grew from 2000 to 2005 while demand grew. In 2000, we saw a lot of credit stress in the system.

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Law Inventory Lending Mortgage 522

Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 24, 2022

The real question is how much higher mortgage rates will bite the most sensitive sector to rates: new homes. This stands in contrast to the existing home sales market, where higher mortgage rates can create more inventory and cool down price growth. A good example was 2018. million, consider that a good year.

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Construction Housing Market Marketing Mortgage 423

Housing Wire

JUNE 8, 2021

The Salt Lake City-based lender says it’s worked with over 1 million homeowners since its founding in 2002 and funded $11.6 It mostly originated cash-out refis and purchase mortgages in 2020, according to HMDA statistics in Polygon’s database. billion in home improvement projects. in 2021 to $433 billion.

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Renovations Home Improvement Marketing Finance 384

Housing Wire

DECEMBER 22, 2021

It’s the same reason I have given for many years: the American bears who are typically housing crash addicts can’t read data correctly, and the mortgage purchase application data just proved my point once again. million level for three straight months, aligning with the better mortgage demand growth that we saw for four months.

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Inventory Housing Market Investors Marketing 492