Remove 2002 Remove Housing Market Remove New Listings
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Lower mortgage rates are stabilizing the housing market

Housing Wire

As you can see from the chart above, the last several years have not had the FOMO (fear of missing out) housing credit boom we saw from 2002-2005. What I mean by a credit bust is that after the housing bubble burst in 2005 into 2006, we saw a massive increase in supply. Mortgage rates went from a low of 2.5%

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Why are home prices at all-time highs with more inventory?

Housing Wire

As you can see in our new listing data, we are showing growth. The existing home sales print is catching up to our data, and this, to me, is the best story for housing in 2024 because when the housing market was savagely unhealthy in 2022, the NAR total active listings data was below 1 million.

Inventory 482
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Housing inventory falls under 1M again as sales collapse

Housing Wire

housing market , we just experienced an event that most people never thought could happen. The Federal Reserve wanted a housing reset , and it got a housing recession, with activity falling the fastest since the brief pause during COVID-19. During that period, we saw new listing data decline.

Inventory 541
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Why purchase application data is below 2008 levels

Housing Wire

However, the housing market did run into one problem in 2020. Inventory levels broke to all-time lows and thus created massive housing inflation quickly, which broke my model. I knew housing would be OK as long as home prices only grew at 23% over five years — 4.6% This means less demand for housing.

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Why home-price growth is still up 18% year over year

Housing Wire

While the growth rate is cooling monthly, we are still in a savagely unhhealthy housing market trying to get national inventory levels back to pre-COVID-19 levels. From the index : I know it seems strange, but existing home sales are falling, and the monthly supply of new homes is at 10.9 million listings. From Redfin.

Inventory 397
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The standoff between homebuyers and sellers

Housing Wire

There’s a showdown at the housing market corral between homebuyers and sellers. When I came up with the “ savagely unhealthy housing market ” label in February of this year, it was based on the premise that the housing inflation story that we have had to deal with since 2020 was a historical event.

Sellers 514
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Existing home sales data shows extent of housing inflation

Housing Wire

The savagely unhealthy housing market theme of mine is running in full force now as we have gotten no relief on home prices and now have a mega jump in mortgage rates. . Since the summer of 2020, I have talked about what could change the housing market, which was a 10-year yield above 1.94%, which means rates over 4%.

Inventory 482