Remove 2002 Remove Construction Remove Sellers
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Builders only have 76,000 completed new homes for sale

Housing Wire

This is why I have called them efficient home sellers. As we can see in the chart below, sales levels aren’t exactly booming like they were from 2002-2005. months, the builders will pause construction. months, and we had a big miss on housing starts last week , mostly coming from multifamily construction. We are at 7.8

Inventory 523
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Purchase apps are at 2009 level: where’s the inventory?

Housing Wire

That’s not the case now because we have’t had a credit boom post-2010 as we did from 2002 to 2005. However, the spike in inventory that we saw from 2006 to 2011 can be attributed to the massive credit bubble we had from 2002 to 2005. We have more housing starts under construction now than in recent history!

Inventory 526
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Are new home sales flagging a recession?

Housing Wire

I know some people don’t agree with me on this, but the price gains in both the existing home and new home sales sector show that homebuilders and sellers had too much pricing power and needed to be checked. As you can see, sales levels were never elevated like what we saw from 2002-2005. The only way this happens is by higher rates.

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Comparing this housing market recession to 2008

Housing Wire

The housing market of 2002-2005 had four years of sales growth facilitated by credit. However, what isn’t identical is that we have not had a massive sales boom like we saw from 2002-2005. This is significantly different than the period from 2002-2005 when credit expansion was booming. Home sales. Housing credit.

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The new home sales recession continues

Housing Wire

So for now, the builders will take their time with the homes under construction and make sure they offer enough incentives to unload the new home supply they’re dealing with. can’t have a credit sales boom like we saw from 2002-2005. This time, we have less production of homes and more multifamily construction. This is 12.6

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New home sales still show a historic backlog

Housing Wire

It didn’t help the builders that they had a global pandemic and we still have many new homes either in construction or that haven’t been started yet. months 290,000 new homes are still under construction, about 5.5 We must remember that the builders don’t operate like existing home sellers; they treat their products as commodities.

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New home sales are at risk with rising mortgage rates ?

Housing Wire

As you can see below, the new home sales market from 2018-2022 doesn’t look like the housing market we had from 2002-2005. months and above, the builders will pull back on construction. It’s taking forever to build a home and that has created a huge number of homes under construction. percent (±11.9 percent (±13.7

Mortgage 504