Housing Wire

MARCH 28, 2022

Due to this reality, I have downgraded the housing market from unhealthy housing to a savagely unhealthy housing market. HousingWire: How will rising rates affect new home construction? Housing construction will be impacted if the monthly supply for new homes breaks above 6.5

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 22, 2020

housing market and compare those to where we are today — in the middle of one of the most epic years in our country’s history, due to COVID-19. No doubt about it, the COVID crisis has taken some juice out of the 2020 housing market. The February housing data, pre-COVID, was juicy indeed. Context is key!

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Housing Wire

MAY 26, 2022

It’s an excellent time to discuss housing inventory. The housing market shifted in March of this year. As the 10-year yield broke above 1.94% and mortgage rates rose, we saw the impact on housing data. Yes, crazy to think, but this is a survey trend data line, and the housing market was in free-fall at that time.

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Housing Wire

JULY 26, 2022

This data line confirms what we all know to be the case: The housing market, at least as it relates to construction, is in a recession. Since the summer of 2020, I have genuinely believed the housing market could change once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%. In response, they stalled construction for 30 months.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 21, 2022

Housing construction in the U.S. during the brief COVID-19 recession, to that recovery, and now in the new housing recession, is going to go down in history as one of those crazy data lines we lived through. million housing completions in the monthly report. months and below, this is an excellent market for the builders.

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Housing Wire

SEPTEMBER 26, 2023

As we can see in the chart below, sales levels aren’t exactly booming like they were from 2002-2005. From Census: For sale inventory and months’ supply : The seasonally‐adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of August was 436,000. months, the builders will pause construction. When supply is over 6.5 We are at 7.8

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Housing Wire

MAY 24, 2022

A lot of the housing data was lagging the rate move, so it wasn’t apparent that higher rates impacted the data yet. Going back to the summer of 2020, the one factor that I said could change the housing market was the 10-year yield getting above 1.94%. However, the housing market changed once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%.

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Housing Wire

MAY 18, 2022

Census Bureau released their new residential construction report for April, showing a miss on the estimate and a negative revisions data line, which I believe is lagging behind the current market reality. Housing starts came in at 1.724 million , and housing permits came in at 1.819 million — both are still very healthy numbers.

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 16, 2022

Tuesday’s housing starts report clearly shows that homebuilders are going to be done with single-family construction until mortgage rates fall. If it wasn’t for solid rental demand boosting multifamily construction this year — 18% year to date —this data line would have looked much worse.

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Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2023

However, with active listings now near all-time lows, the builders’ new homes still have more value in the housing market than what we saw in previous decades. However, imagine if the housing market could get mortgage rates below 5.75%, then head toward 5% and stay there for some time. When supply is 4.3

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Housing Wire

FEBRUARY 24, 2022

From the National Association of Home Builders : For many years I have stressed that the most important housing data I follow is the monthly supply of new homes. It gives an idea of what to expect for housing construction. adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of January was 406,000. When supply is 4.4

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Housing Wire

AUGUST 23, 2022

The housing market is in a recession, something that the homebuilders and the National Association of Realtors now agree with me on, as this recent CNBC clip shows. family houses in July 2022 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 511,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. This is 12.6 percent (±16.9

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Housing Wire

MARCH 23, 2022

We finally got mortgage rates to rise, and for people like me who have been concerned about how unhealthy the housing market was last year — and it got a lot worse this year — it’s a blessing that was much needed. As you can see below, the new home sales market from 2018-2022 doesn’t look like the housing market we had from 2002-2005.

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Housing Wire

JULY 13, 2022

Looking at the housing market in the years 2020-2024, one risk i identified early on was that home prices could accelerate more in this period than we saw in the previous expansion if inventory channels broke to all-time lows. housing market as savagely unhealthy. million homes, using the NAR data.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 2, 2022

One top question he addresses is how the industry is reacting to this savagely unhealthy housing market. HW+ Member: What’s the number one question you are getting from the real estate agent community on the economy and housing market? The big difference now than, let’s say, what we saw from 2002-2008.

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Housing Wire

NOVEMBER 17, 2022

For this reason, the number of housing units “under construction” is the largest ever recorded in history because they were taking so long to finish. Housing construction productivity has always been terrible compared to other sectors of our economy; I get that, as we still build homes with hammers and nails, not robots.

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Housing Wire

APRIL 27, 2022

As we can see below, the uptrend in sales is still intact, so housing starts have held up OK. Even though multifamily construction has boosted housing starts recently, the slowdown in single-family purchases hasn’t been anything too dramatic yet. From Census: The median sales price of new houses sold in March 2022 was $436,700.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 23, 2022

It didn’t help the builders that they had a global pandemic and we still have many new homes either in construction or that haven’t been started yet. months 290,000 new homes are still under construction, about 5.5 That would reverse the problem the housing market has had selling homes with mortgage rates above 7%.

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 19, 2022

You always want to be skeptical of any housing starts data that comes in too strong or too negative from the trend, and we had some specific factors in this report that boosted multifamily construction. Some of the demand that we saw from 2002-2005 was facilitated by credit that no longer exists in the marketplace today.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 16, 2022

Multifamily construction is different than single-family homes. From Census: Housing Completions Privately? family housing completions in May were at a rate of 1,043,000; this is 2.8 Housing completions have been one of the worst stories for the housing market. percent (±13.6

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Housing Wire

JANUARY 26, 2022

In reality, as we talked about many times on HousingWire, housing data was going to moderate, find a base and work from that COVID-19 surge in the data. However, with that said, it’s still just an OK housing market for me based on how I view the new home sales market. months, this is an OK market for the builders.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 3, 2022

Look at the jobs data and which sector added jobs in March: Construction jobs came in positively, but retail trade took a big hit. Job openings in construction and manufacturing have picked up recently. However, this spike in supply isn’t like the spike we saw during the housing bubble crash, it needs more context.

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Housing Wire

JUNE 24, 2022

We don’t say the new home sales market supply is the existing home sales market. The existing home sales market monthly supply is running at 2.6 Five months of the supply are homes in construction. That is a high level, and two months of the supply hasn’t started construction yet, and a whopping 0.68

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Housing Wire

APRIL 24, 2023

million new minority homeowners when the president launched the Blueprint for the American Dream in 2002. The relationship between diversity, economic growth, housing and GDP The housing market is large and varied. New construction, resales, refinances and home improvements account for approximately 16% of the U.S.

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Housing Wire

DECEMBER 20, 2021

Even in the extreme conditions of COVID-19, my general premise on housing economics predicted that the two variables with the most influence — demographics and mortgage rates — would hold up the housing market. Also, the market we have today doesn’t look like the credit boom we saw from 2002-2005. The forecast.

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Will Springer Realtor

OCTOBER 11, 2022

Seriously though, there must be a ceiling to rising rates that have all but extinguished a robust housing market. We are now seeing “7s” in front of some rates to new mortgage consumers – a figure not seen since April 2002 – causing applications for new loans to hit a 25-year low this month. ( Here’s a 4-bed, 3.25-bath

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Will Springer Realtor

NOVEMBER 9, 2022

It may be damp and cool outside, but the luxury housing market continues to generate hot listings. Here is a selection of some of my new favorites to hit the market. The owners since 2002 are reportedly retiring and moving to the Olympic Peninsula. Let’s start with a 4-bedroom, 3-bath , 3276 sq. List: $4.75M ($942/sq.

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Will Springer Realtor

DECEMBER 8, 2021

housing starts, when builders break ground and lay a foundation, are forecast to finish this year at 1.04M single-family homes, the first time since 2007 the figure will exceed a million. Economists forecast housing starts will rise a promising 5% in 2022. construction jobs in the U.S., year-on-year (YoY), according to U.S. “In

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Appraisal Today

NOVEMBER 4, 2022

Living on the edge means constructing places in the most challenging locations, and, in many cases, in the middle of unspoiled nature.” percent, but remained close to its highest since 2002,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist. The 30-year fixed rate decreased for the first time in over two months to 7.06

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Appraisal Today

AUGUST 13, 2023

High-end construction with luxe touches throughout, vaulted ceilings elevate the space. Guest Residence was built in 2001 with quality wood frame construction, smooth stucco exterior siding, and clay roof. Dear Sellers, the housing market misses you It’s tough to value properties today! garage as well.

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