Remove 2000 Remove Construction Remove Housing Market
article thumbnail

The housing market recession continues, despite starts data

Housing Wire

The June housing starts data beat estimates with positive revisions, however, this doesn’t change the housing market recession call that I made last month. The housing permit data doesn’t look terrible. This is a plus for rental supply, however, single-family construction is about to cool down in response to higher rates.

article thumbnail

Comparing this housing market recession to 2008

Housing Wire

As we close out 2022, it’s time to reflect on a historic year for the housing market, which was even crazier than the COVID-19 year of 2020. A few months ago, I was asked to go on CNBC and talk about why I call this a housing recession and why this year reminds me a lot of 2018, but much worse on the four items above.

Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

DataDigest: What the latest data says about home prices, construction and sales

Housing Wire

Homebuilders are also pacing the number of homes they bring to market. Home construction New home construction ramped up early in the pandemic but moderated as interest rates ticked up and mortgage rates followed. The rate of homes under construction has roughly plateaued since April 2022.

article thumbnail

New home sales make it clear: Housing is in a recession

Housing Wire

This data line confirms what we all know to be the case: The housing market, at least as it relates to construction, is in a recession. Since the summer of 2020, I have genuinely believed the housing market could change once the 10-year yield broke over 1.94%. In response, they stalled construction for 30 months.

article thumbnail

Increasing Open Jobs in Construction

Eyes on Housing

The construction labor market remains tight, as the industry sees a rising number of job openings year-over-year. The count of open construction jobs increased for the month to 380,000 unfilled positions in January. The highest measure in the history of the data series (going back to late 2000) was 416,000 in April 2019.

article thumbnail

Record apartment supply is good for mortgage rates 

Housing Wire

Without rents taking off, the CPI data would look much more tame, like what we saw from the years 2000-2019. Tuesday’s housing starts data does show some promise on the front of attacking inflation and helping lowering mortgage rates, so let’s look at the report and find out what I am talking about. Since 44.4%

Mortgage 521
article thumbnail

The big short in housing supply isn’t going away

Housing Wire

Bringing together some of the top economists and researchers in housing, the event will provide an in-depth look at the predictions for next year, along with a roundtable discussion on how these insights apply to your business. Measuring the housing deficit. The event is exclusively for HW+ members , and you can go here to register.